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Quantitative Economics Journal
Published by Universitas Negeri Medan
ISSN : 20897847     EISSN : 20897995     DOI : 10.24114
Core Subject : Economy,
Economics, Econometrics & Finance
This journal is contained with the articles that cover the economics area that derived from the research and engineering ideas that are quantitative. The viewers, authors and future authors that expressed in this publication do not necessarily reflect the Department of Economics, Post Graduate Program, State University of Medan
Arjuna Subject : Ilmu Ekonomi, Ekonometrika dan Keuangan (semua kategori) - Ilmu Ekonomi, Ekonometrika dan Keuangan (Lain-Lain)
Articles 4 Documents
 1 
Search results for , issue "Vol 1, No 2 (2012)" : 4 Documents clear
SIMULASI PENGELUARAN PEMERINTAH DAN DAMPAKNYA TERHADAP KINERJA EKONOMI MAKRO: SUATU MODEL COMPUTABLE GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM Indra Maipita
Quantitative Economics Journal Vol 1, No 2 (2012)
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Medan

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24114/qej.v1i2.17403

Abstract

This study analyzes the impact of increased government spending on macroeconomic performance, using AGEFIS; a Computable General Equilibrium Model. Simulations carried out with the three scenarios in the sector Construction, Electricity, and Land Transportation. The simulation results shows that, in general, an increase in government spending have a positive impact on macroeconomic performance and increase household income. increase in government spending in the Construction sector provides better impact on increasing household income compared with other sectors, while in the electricity sector have no effect
ANALISIS DINAMIS KETERKAITAN VARIABEL YANG MEMPENGARUHI NERACA TRANSAKSI BERJALAN INDONESIA TAHUN 2012 Winta Ratna Sari
Quantitative Economics Journal Vol 1, No 2 (2012)
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Medan

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24114/qej.v1i2.17408

Abstract

This study was to analyze the contribution rate (the rupiah against the U.S. dollar), Libor Interest Rate, Inflation and Output Growth (GDP) of the current account balance in Indonesia. The data used in this study secondary data is sourced from Indonesia Financial Statistics. The data used is the data quarterly from the first quarter of 2000 up to 2010 fourth quarter. The results of the estimated Vector Autoregression (VAR) indicates that there is a relationship between the Current Account, Exchange Rate, Libor Interest Rate, Inflation and GDP at lag t-1. Impulse response function of the stability of the first note that all variables are in the long run that is over 5 years and tend to be stable. This means that in the short term variables that are used do not provide a meaningful contribution in the long term but will mutually contribute to each other. Variance Decomposition Based on these results, it is known that all variables contributed to the Current Account, but his greatest contribution is of the variable itself, this means that the current account tends to a variable receiving contributions rather than giving contributions
ANALISIS INFLASI DI SUMATERA UTARA: SUATU MODEL ERROR CORRECTION (ECM) Hafsyah Aprillia
Quantitative Economics Journal Vol 1, No 2 (2012)
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Medan

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24114/qej.v1i2.17407

Abstract

The research was conducted to determine the effect of economic variables that can explain the change or variation in the rate of inflation in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) as the dependent variable. The explanatory variables (independent) were used as controls are SBI, the nominal interest rate spread (SBI) and the value of the rupiah against the U.S. dollar. Based on these results, according to the specific purpose of the model equations II, suggested economic actors can use SBI interest rate spread as an indicator of variations in the CPI inflation rate at intervals of 8 and 12 months, with a note that the obtained level of explanation has not shown that the optimal value.
ANALISIS EFEKTIVITAS JALUR EKSPEKTASI INFLASI DALAM MEKANISME TRANSMISI KEBIJAKAN MONETER DI INDONESIA: PENDEKATAN VECTOR AUTOREGRESSIVE (VAR) Nurita Hutagalung
Quantitative Economics Journal Vol 1, No 2 (2012)
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Medan

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24114/qej.v1i2.17404

Abstract

Inflation expectations to be one of the main runway most economic agents in setting prices and wages, which in turn affect consumption and investment decisions. In relation to the aim of research is to look at the effectiveness of the path of inflation expectations by analyzing random kejutatan (shock) and the contribution of each variable to changes in another variable. The results of this study concluded that (1) all give each variable a random shocks to the other variables so as to achieve long-term equilibrium. This is shown by the results of the estimated IRF test on each variable, (2) all the variables together contribute to other variables as shown by the results of estimation VD test. From the estimation of inflation expectations can be concluded that monetary policy affects inflation.

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