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All Journal Economics Development Analysis Journal Jurnal Manajemen
Goestjahjanti, Francisca Sestri
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Economics, Econometrics & Finance

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Analysis competitiveness and exchange rate effect on indonesian terms of trade 1995-2016 Goestjahjanti, Francisca Sestri
Jurnal Manajemen Vol 22, No 1 (2018): February 2018
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis, Universitas Tarumanagara

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (581.274 KB) | DOI: 10.24912/jm.v22i1.315

Abstract

The purpose of this research is to discuss and review the influence of competitiveness and exchange rates to Indonesian term of trade. The problem of this research is how the influence of competitiveness and exchange rate variable simultaneously and partially to Indonesian term of trade. This research used secondary data time series for 22 years since 1995 to 2016. The research method used explanatory research to explain the causal relationship between the variables in a model, through hypothesis testing. The analysis employed statistical technique of linear regression with the software SPSS -22 and E-views-7. The results of the researches showed that these variables competitiveness and exchange rate are simultaneously and partially give positive and significant effect on Indonesian term of trade.
Production and Exchange Rate Impact on Indonesian Industrial Exports Goods Goestjahjanti, Francisca Sestri; Efriani, Betharia; Winanti, Winanti; Rahmawati, Rahmawati; Kulla, Istajib
Economics Development Analysis Journal Vol 12 No 1 (2023): Economics Development Analysis Journal
Publisher : Economics Development Department, Universitas Negeri Semarang, Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15294/edaj.v12i1.62473

Abstract

The Indonesian consumer goods industry has been stagnant for four years 2014 – 2018 with the export average of only 5.5 trillion or equivalents to zero % growth. Since the government has been working hard for economic recovery during Covid 19 pandemic, the growth has grown to 20 trillion in 2021 (after the pandemic). Therefore, this research aimed to describe the influence of production and exchange variables on export growth of consumer goods industry in Indonesia. It used a linier regression method by using quarterly time series data of 2008 – 2021 which have been never studied before. The result showed that there found 78.80 % increase of export (cateris paribus) for 1 % production increase, 41.80 % increase of export for 1 % exchange rate increase, and 1 % of production and exchange rates increases caused 81.90 % increase in exports. Based on the explanation, there found a positive and significant effects between production and exchange rates on the export of consumer goods industry partially and simultaneously. It means that both factors are substantial and needed to be continuously improved in order to increase the export value of Indonesian consumer goods industry which in the end will also have positive impact on its growth.
Co-Authors Efriani, Betharia Kulla, Istajib Rahmawati, Rahmawati WINANTI, WINANTI