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Journal : Journal of Economics, Business,

Indonesian Export Analysis: Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) Model Approach Syarifah Labibah; Abd. Jamal; Taufiq C. Dawood
Journal of Economics, Business, & Accountancy Ventura Vol 23, No 3 (2020): December 2020 - March 2021
Publisher : Universitas Hayam Wuruk Perbanas

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.14414/jebav.v23i3.1668

Abstract

There are some factors predicted tohave an effect on the countries’ economic devlopment. This study aimed to analyze the long-term and short-term effects of In-flation, Exchange Rate, and Foreign Economic Growth (the destination of the United States, China, and Japan) on the Indonesian Export. The Auto-Regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) Model is used in this analysis from 1968 through 2017. The results of the analysis show that in the long-term, the inflation and the economic growth in China as well in Japan has a positive sign and significant effect on Indonesian exports. In addition, in the short-term, the US exchange rate and economic growth have a positive significant effect on Indonesian exports.