Dwi Susilowati
University of Muhammadiyah Malang

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QUALITY STUDY OF HUMAN DEVELOPMENT AND POVERTY IN MADURA ISLAND Dwi Susilowati; Sri Joko; Risky Angga Pramuja
Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan Vol. 17 No. 2 (2019): JURNAL EKONOMI PEMBANGUNAN
Publisher : Pusat Pengkajian Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Publik

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.22219/jep.v17i2.10360

Abstract

This study aims to find out the most dominant factors and determine the districts in Madura that require special attention from the observed model so that it can provide benefits for policymakers, and the research method used is panel data with the OLS square approach. The results of panel data regression with the fix effect model show the results that the variables that have a positive and significant influence are the GRDP at a 5% confidence level in the GRDP variable with a positive direction while the open unemployment variable has a significant negative effect having a 6% confidence level with a negative direction. Variable consumption expenditure does not have a significant effect but has a positive direction. Intercept values differ in each district which shows the uniqueness of the model of the fixed effect. The highest intercept values were Pamekasan Sampang, Bangkalan and Sumenep. From the results of the HDI classification, the Sampang has a low classification of the district vocationally on Madura Island. The results of the classification of expenditure of basic and lowest consumption of staples in 2012 and 2018 were Pamekasan and Sumenep. The results of the classification of the highest open unemployment rates were in Bangkalan in 2012 and 2018. The lowest GRDP classification was in Pamekasan districts in 2012 and 2017.
ANALISIS FAKTOR-FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI CADANGAN DEVISA DI INDONESIA Norita Fitria; Aris Soelistyo; Dwi Susilowati
Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi Vol. 5 No. 3 (2021): Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi
Publisher : Program Studi Ekonomi Pembangunan Universitas Muhammadiyah Malang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.22219/jie.v5i3.16250

Abstract

The purpose of this study is to analyze what factors affect foreign exchange reserves in Indonesia. The focus in this study is the variables that affect changes in foreign exchange reserves in the 1999-2019 period are non-oil and gas exports, the rupiah exchange rate, foreign debt and inflation as independent variables. Using an open economy model and Keynes's balance of payments, the analytical tools used in this study are the PAM regression model (Partial Adjustment Model) and the adaptive expectation model to see the long-term and short-term effects of the independent variable on the dependent variable. The results of this study show that simultaneously non-oil and gas exports, the rupiah exchange rate, foreign debt and inflation affect Indonesia's foreign exchange reserves, while partially non-oil exports and the rupiah exchange rate significantly and positively affect Indonesia's long-term and short-term foreign exchange reserves, while debt foreign exchange and inflation are not  significant and negatively affect long-term and short-term foreign exchange reserves. Non-oil exports, rupiah exchange rate, foreign debt and inflation can explain Indonesia's foreign exchange reserves of 97%, of which the remaining 3% is explained by other variables not included in this study.