Arif Eser Güzel
Department of Economics, Hatay Mustafa Kemal University, Hatay, Turkey

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On the nexus between exchange rate and income distribution in Turkey: ARDL bound testing analysis Arif Eser Güzel; Ünal Arslan
Economic Journal of Emerging Markets Volume 11 Issue 1, 2019
Publisher : Universitas Islam Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.20885/ejem.vol11.iss1.art1

Abstract

If we talk about the importance of variables in economic development, income distribution is not the second to economic growth, especially in emerging countries. These emerging countries are generally characterized by the volatility of exchange rates, especially after most of the countries adopted floating exchange rates system. This paper investigates the impact of an increases in dollar value on income distribution using annual data in the period 1990-2016 for Turkey via an ARDL model and bound testing analysis. In constructing the empirical model, it also considers the impact of GDP per capita on the dependent variable. Findings/Originality: The paper finds that an increase in dollar value leads to a more unequal income distribution in Turkey. The dollar holds an important place in Turkey’s foreign trade. Therefore, the changes in the value of dollar results in significant welfare effects
The role of agricultural productivity in economic growth in middle-income countries: An empirical investigation Arif Eser Güzel; Cemil Serhat Akin
Economic Journal of Emerging Markets Volume 13 Issue 1, 2021
Publisher : Universitas Islam Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.20885/ejem.vol13.iss1.art2

Abstract

Purpose - This study investigates the role of agricultural productivity in economic growth in middle-income countries.Methods - This study utilizes the data of 53 middle-income countries over the period 1991-2017 and provides robust estimations using second-generation panel data methods considering cross-sectional dependency.Findings - The estimation results of the Common Correlated Effects Mean Group (CCEMG), Dynamic-CCEMG, and biased-corrected form of Dynamic-CCEMG, suggest that agricultural productivity is the main engine of economic growth. Additional findings show that economic growth is positively associated with both physical capital and human capital. This paper does not find any significant relationship between trade openness and economic growth.Implications - This study reveals that the industrialization process in middle-income countries to boost economic growth can be accelerated by implementing policies to increase productivity in the agricultural sector.Originality - This study focuses on analyzing the effect of agricultural productivity neglected mainly in recent studies on economic growth. This paper develops a second-generation estimator that considers cross-sectional dependence.