TB Nur Ahmad Maulana
Sekolah Bisnis, Institut Pertanian Bogor

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Pengaruh Guncangan Makroekonomi terhadap Integrasi Pasar Modal di ASEAN-5 Iyan Anriansyah; Hermanto Siregar; TB Nur Ahmad Maulana
Jurnal Aplikasi Bisnis dan Manajemen (JABM) Vol. 4 No. 1 (2018): JABM Vol. 4 No. 1, Januari 2018
Publisher : School of Business, Bogor Agricultural University (SB-IPB)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.17358/jabm.4.1.52

Abstract

This study aim is to analyze the effects of the shocks of the macroeconomic variable on the capital market integration in ASEAN 5 represented by stock price indexes. The stock price indexes used included Indonesia (IHSG), Malaysia (KLCI), Singapore (STI), Thailand (SETI) and Philippines (PSEI), and the macroeconomic variables used in Indonesia included the industrial production (IPI), inflation (INFI), interest rate (SBI) and exchange rate (KURSI). The method used was the analysis of VAR/VECM using impulse response function (IRF), forecast error Variance decomposition (FEVD) and granger causality of the study period of 2001-2016. The results showed that IHSG and STI had a two-way causality and had a unidirectional causal relationship to PSEI, KLSE and SET. Shocks of inflation, interest rates and exchange rates had a negative correlation with the Index of the ASEAN 5, while industrial production shocks had a positive relationship. IHSG and KLSE were more influenced by the inflation rate in Indonesia while PSEI, STI and SET were more affected by interest rates in Indonesia.Keywords: composite index, ASEAN 5, macroeconomic variables, VAR /VECM, granger causality
Penggunaan Hedging oleh Perusahaan Telekomunikasi yang Tercatat Pada Bursa Efek Indonesia Basyid Ahmad; Hermanto Siregar; Tb Nur Ahmad Maulana
Jurnal Aplikasi Bisnis dan Manajemen (JABM) Vol. 3 No. 3 (2017): JABM Vol. 3 No. 3, September 2017
Publisher : School of Business, Bogor Agricultural University (SB-IPB)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.17358/jabm.3.3.435

Abstract

The aims of this research were to have a comprehensive understanding on hedging implementation in telecommunication companies and to comprehend the impact of hedge to firm value of the companies. In this research, hedging is the moderating variable between independent variable and dependent variable. The independent variables included profit, firm size, leverage, growth, dividend and liquidity while the dependent variable included firm value. The method used was the ordinary least Square. The samples were taken from 2 telecommunication companies, and the data observed included the quarterly financial data from 2006 to 2015. The findings showed that derivative transactions used as hedge by the companies included cross currency swap, forward and option. Furthermore, the use of hedging foreign exchange was not seen to affect the firm value for the telecommunication company. This is because the 5 moderating variables did not significantly affect the firm value and only 1 moderating variable had a significantly negative effect on the firm value. Keywords: derivative, foreign exchange, firm value, hedge, telecommunication’ companyAbstrak: Tujuan dari penelitian ini adalah untuk menggambarkan penerapan hedging pada perusahaan telekomunikasi publik serta mengetahui dampak hedging terhadap nilai perusahaan. Dalam penelitian ini, hedging merupakan variabel moderating terhadap berbagai variabel yang memengaruhi nilai perusahaan yaitu variabel profitabilitas, firm size, leverage, growth, dividen dan likuiditas. Teknik analisis yang dipakai, yaitu regresi (ordinary least Square). Sedangkan perusahaan yang diteliti sebanyak 2 perusahaan publik dengan data keuangan triwulan sejak tahun 2006 sampai dengan 2015. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa hedging dilakukan perusahaan telekomunikasi adalah melalui transaksi derivatif, yaitu cross currency swap, forward dan option. Secara umum hedging tidak memengaruhi nilai perusahaan mengingat 5 variabel yang telah dimoderasi tidak berpengaruh signifikan dan hanya 1 variabel yang telah dimoderasi yaitu profitabilitas berpengaruh signifikan negatif terhadap nilai perusahaan.Kata kunci: transaksi derivatif, mata uang asing, nilai perusahaan, lindung nilai, perusahaan telekomunikasi
Earning Management dan Expected Future Earning di Bursa Efek Indonesia Taofiq Rachmat; Hermanto Siregar; Tb Nur Ahmad Maulana
Jurnal Aplikasi Bisnis dan Manajemen (JABM) Vol. 3 No. 3 (2017): JABM Vol. 3 No. 3, September 2017
Publisher : School of Business, Bogor Agricultural University (SB-IPB)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.17358/jabm.3.3.466

Abstract

The purpose of this study was to applicated M-score to identify earning management in Indonesian corporation. This study also aims to analyst future earning condition from kind of group or sector of corporation which is indicated doing earning management. This study took a sample of 42 corporation using criteria about corporation which is had negatif information. The results of multiple linear regression analysis show that there is evidence that companies with an Earning Management detected earn lower future earnings (a study in Indonesian Stock Exchange Market), the ability of forecast changes in future earnings stems from its ability of predictive power of M-Score (Earning Management Detection Model). There is also, evidence that group companies which had “high attention” from Regulator earn lower expected future earnings. Based on the results of this study, the stake holder are advised to consider M-score to make judgement about financial reports.Keywords: earning management, expected future earning, indonesian stock exchange market, m-score, cross- sectional time-series dataAbstrak: Tujuan dari penelitian ini adalah untuk mengkaji aplikasi M-Score untuk mengidentifikasi earning management pada korporasi di Indonesia. Penelitian ini juga bertujuan mengkaji kondisi expected future earning dari kelompok korporasi yang di informasikan terindikasi melakukan earning management. Penelitian ini mengambil sampel dari 42 korporasi dengan menggunakan kriteria korporasi yang memiliki informasi negatif. Hasil analisis regresi linier berganda menunjukkan terdapat bukti apabila korporasi yang terdeteksi earning management akan mendapatkan expected future earning yang rendah. Kemampuan memprediksi perubahan pada expected future earning didapat dari kemampuan prediksi yang kuat dari M-score (Model untuk mendeteksi adanya earning management). Penelitian menunjukkan bahwa ditemukan konglomerasi usaha yang mendapat pengawasan dari regulator mendapatkan expected future earning yang rendah. Berdasarkan hasil penelitian ini, pemangku kepentingan disarankan menggunakan M-score ketika melakukan penilaian pada laporan keuangan.Kata kunci: earning management, expected future earning, bursa efek indonesia, m-score, data panel