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All Journal E-Jurnal Matematika
MIRA AYU NOVITA SARI
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Mathematics

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PERAMALAN JUMLAH KUNJUNGAN WISATAWAN MANCANEGARA KE BALI MENGGUNAKAN METODE SINGULAR SPECTRUM ANALYSIS MIRA AYU NOVITA SARI; I WAYAN SUMARJAYA; MADE SUSILAWATI
E-Jurnal Matematika Vol 8 No 4 (2019)
Publisher : Mathematics Department, Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, Udayana University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24843/MTK.2019.v08.i04.p269

Abstract

Singular spectrum analysis (SSA) is a method to decompose the original time series into a summation of a small number of components that can be interpreted as varied trends, oscillatory, and noise components. The purpose of this research is to model and to find out the results of forecasting the number of foreign tourists arrival to Bali using SSA method. In this research, the accuracy of forecasting results will be calculated using the SSA model with reccurent singular spectrum analysis (RSSA) method. The best SSA model was obtained with a window length (L=94) and produces MAPE value of 7,65%.
Co-Authors I Wayan Sumarjaya Made Susilawati