MADE ARISTIAWAN JIWA ATMAJA
Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, Udayana University

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ANALISIS KOINTEGRASI JUMLAH WISATAWAN, INFLASI, DAN NILAI TUKAR TERHADAP PRODUK DOMESTIK REGIONAL BRUTO (PDRB) PROVINSI BALI MADE ARISTIAWAN JIWA ATMAJA; I PUTU EKA N. KENCANA; G. K. GANDHIADI
E-Jurnal Matematika Vol 4 No 3 (2015)
Publisher : Mathematics Department, Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, Udayana University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24843/MTK.2015.v04.i03.p093

Abstract

This paper aimed to determine long-run equilibrium the tourist arrivals, inflation, exchange rate and gross domestic regional product (GDRP) of Bali Province used Johansen’s cointegration test. First examined whether each stationary variables using augmented dickey fuller (ADF) test. ADF test showed GDRP of Bali, tourist arrivals, and exchange rate are not stationary, so it is assumed stationary in first lag or I(1). While inflation is stationary in level or I(0). Johansen’s cointegration test showed the tourist arrivals, inflation, exchange rate and GDRP of Bali are not cointegrated. Notice that there is no long-run equilibrium, it can not be concluded for structural equation models.