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HUBUNGAN KAUSALITAS ANTARA TINGKAT BUNGA, TINGKAT INFLASI DAN KURS DI INDONESIA TAHUN 2010 - 2019 Indria Ririn; Mayes Antony; Richard Rahmat
Jurnal Online Mahasiswa (JOM) Bidang Ilmu Ekonomi Vol 7, No 2 (2020): (Juli - Desember 2020)
Publisher : Jurnal Online Mahasiswa (JOM) Bidang Ilmu Ekonomi

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This study aims to determine the causal relationship between the interest rate, the inflation rate and the exchange rate in Indonesia. This study uses secondary data obtained from the official website of Bank Indonesia, namely Indonesian Financial Economics Statistics (SEKI). The analytical method used is the Grenger causality analysis. In conducting the Grenger causality test using the help of the Eviews program, the data used in this study is the time series data per month in 2010 – 2019. Based on the results of the study, the results of the Granger causality test were obtained, during the observation period which included time vulnerability per month 2010 - 2019 showing that interest rates and inflation rates in Indonesia have a unidirectional causal relationship, namely interest rates that affect inflation, which means changes in interest rates can affect changes inflation. Interest rates and exchange rates in Indonesia have a unidirectional causality, namely the unidirectional influence of interest rates can affect exchange rate conditions, which means that interest rate movements can affect exchange rate conditions in Indonesia. However, there was no effect of exchange rate on interest rates. There is no causality relationship between the inflation rate and the exchange rate in Indonesia. Which means that there is no reciprocal relationship between the inflation rate and the exchange rate.Keywords: Bank Indonesia Interest Rates, Inflation, Exchange Rates, Grenger Causality

ANALISIS KAUSALITAS ZAKAT DAN KEMISKINAN DI KOTA PEKANBARU PERIODE 2011(Q1) – 2019(Q4) Delwani Nurhayana; Rosyetti Rosyetti; Richard Rahmat
Jurnal Online Mahasiswa (JOM) Bidang Ilmu Ekonomi Vol 7, No 2 (2020): (Juli - Desember 2020)
Publisher : Jurnal Online Mahasiswa (JOM) Bidang Ilmu Ekonomi

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The purpose of the research was to determine the causality of zakat and poverty in Pekanbaru City Period 2011 (Q1) - 2019 (Q4). Data used in this research is time series data from 2011 (Q1) to 2019 (Q4), sourced from Badan Amil Zakat Nasional (BAZNAS), Central Bureau of Statistics (BPS). Data used in this research are secondary data that are time series. The analysis method used is Vector Autoregression (VAR). The analysis shows that in the long run zakat and poverty have no long-term relationship.using software E-Views version 10. The result of the research shawed in the long run that in the long run, zakat and poverty have no influence. The causality test shawed that there is no causality relationship between zakat and poverty in Pekanbaru City 2011 (Q1) - 2019 (Q4).Keywords: Zakat, Proverty, and Vector Autoregression (VAR).

PENGARUH PRODUK DOMESTIK BRUTO (PDB) DAN SUKU BUNGA DEPOSITO BERJANGKA 1 BULAN TERHADAP JUMLAH SIMPANAN DEPOSITO BERJANGKA 1 BULAN PADA BANK CENTRAL ASIA (BCA) DI INDONESIA TAHUN 2010-2019 Shadiq Fikri; Mayes Anthony; Richard Rahmat
Jurnal Online Mahasiswa (JOM) Bidang Ilmu Ekonomi Vol 7, No 2 (2020): (Juli - Desember 2020)
Publisher : Jurnal Online Mahasiswa (JOM) Bidang Ilmu Ekonomi

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This study aims to determine whether there an influence of gross domestic product and 1-month time deposite interest rate on the amount of 1-month time deposit at Bank Central Asia in Indonesia period 2010-2019. This study uses secondary data obtained from approved financial statement data, namely the official website of Bank Central Asia and Bank Indonesia from 2010 to 2019. In this study using the Ordinary Least Square (OLS) method to find out changes in the value of the dependent variable namely Number of Deposits of 1 Month Time Deposit (Y) supported by the independent variable Gross Domestic Product (X1) and Interest Rate of 1 Month Time Deposit (X2) using multiple linear regression techniques with eviews program 10. This study consists of two independent variables (domestic product and one-month time deposit interest rates) and the dependent variable (the number of 1-month time deposit deposits). The results obtained are gross domestic product and 1-month time deposit interest rate simultaneously against the amount of 1-month time deposit deposits at Bank Central Asia in Indonesia with a significant level of 5% obtained from the value of the requirement of F Statistics <α (0.05), namely 0, 000071 <α (0.05). Partially, gross domestic product and 1-month time deposit rates have been approved positively and significantly to the amount of 1-month time deposits at Bank Central Asia in Indonesia. The second independent variable is free in explaining the independent variable with the adjusted value of R-Square 0.916072. This means that contributing to the second, the independent variable on the variable, which is equal to 91.61% while the remaining 8.39% is needed by other factors outside this study.Keywords: Gross Domestic Product, Deposit Interest Rate, 1 Month Time Deposit

PENGARUH TINGKAT MARGIN KEUNTUNGAN, PRODUK DOMESTIK BRUTO DAN INFLASI TERHADAP PERMINTAAN PEMBIAYAAN MURABAHAH PADA BANK BRI SYARIAH TAHUN 2010-2019 Meiliza Shelly; Mayes Anthony; Richard Rahmat
Jurnal Online Mahasiswa (JOM) Bidang Ilmu Ekonomi Vol 7, No 2 (2020): (Juli - Desember 2020)
Publisher : Jurnal Online Mahasiswa (JOM) Bidang Ilmu Ekonomi

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This research aims to determine the Effect of Profit Margin Rate, Gross Domestic Product and Inflation to Murabahah Financing Demand at BRI Syariah in 2010-2019. This research uses secondary data obtained from the financial statement published, that is official website Bank BRI Syariah, Bank Indonesia and Central Agency of Statistic from 2010 to 2019 time span. In this research using Ordinary Least Square (OLS) method to determine the change of value of the dependent variable that is murabahah financing (Y) influenced by independent variable that is profit Margin Rate (X1), gross domestic product (X2) and inflation (X3) by using multiple linear regression technique. The method used in this research is quantitative descriptive, which is to explain the results of computerized with using E-Views program 10 version. The results showed that the simultaneous test (Test F) produces a calculated F value of 121.8721 with a probability (F-statistic) of 0.000000 thus the probability (F-statistic) is smaller than alpha (0.000000<0.05) which means H0 rejected and Ha accepted. This means that the profit of margin, GDP and inflation simultaneously have a significant on the demand for murabahah financing at BRI Syariah banks in the period 2010-2019. Partial regression test (t test) shows that the level of margin has a positive and significant on the demand for murabahah financing, GDP has a positive and significant on the demand for murabahah financing, while inflation has no significant on the demand for murabahah financing at BRI Syariah Bank. he results of the coefficient of determination (R2) of the independent variables on the dependent variable obtained a value of 0.975781. This means that the contribution of the influence of the independent variable (margin level, GDP and inflation) to the dependent variable (murabaha financing demand) is 97,58% and the remaining 2,42% is influenced by other variables outside the regression model in this study.Keywords : The Profit Margin, GDP, Inflation, Murabahah Financing

PENGARUH E-MONEY DAN ALAT PEMBAYARAN MENGGUNAKAN KARTU (APMK) TERHADAP JUMLAH UANG BEREDAR (M1) PERIODE 2013-2019 Aritonang Br Yeslika; Mayes Anthony; Richard Rahmat
Jurnal Online Mahasiswa (JOM) Bidang Ilmu Ekonomi Vol 7, No 2 (2020): (Juli - Desember 2020)
Publisher : Jurnal Online Mahasiswa (JOM) Bidang Ilmu Ekonomi

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The purpose of this research is to determine the effect of E-money and Card-Based Payment Instruments (APMK) against the supply money in Indonesia period 2013-2019. The data used in this research is time series data from 2013 to 2019, obtained from Bank Indonesia (BI). The independent variables in this study is emoney (X1), credit cards (X2) and debit cards (X3), while the dependent variable is the supply money (Y). This research uses a quantitative method, and uses multiple linear analysis models with the help of the SPSS 24 computer program (Product Solutions and Statistics Services) for Windows. The research results obtained that e-money does not have a significant effect on the money supply (M1), credit cards have a negative and not significant effect on the money supply (M1), whereas debit cards have a significant positive effect on the money supply (M1).Keywords: electronic money, credit cards, debit cards, payment amounts (m1)

PENGARUH CAPITAL ADEQUACY RATIO (CAR), SUKU BUNGA (BI RATE), DAN NILAI TUKAR TERHADAP LOAN TO DEPOSIT RATIO (LDR) PADA PT BANK NEGARA INDONESIA TBK, DI INDONESIA PERIODE 2001-2019 Waruwu Luther Martin; Richard Rahmat; Darmayuda Darmayuda
Jurnal Online Mahasiswa (JOM) Bidang Ilmu Ekonomi Vol 8, No 2 (2021): (Juli - Desember)
Publisher : Jurnal Online Mahasiswa (JOM) Bidang Ilmu Ekonomi

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This study aims to analyze how much influence the Capital Adequacy Ratio (CAR), Interest Rate (BI Rate), and Exchange Rate have on the Loan To Deposit Ratio (LDR) at PT Bank Negara Indonesia Tbk, in Indonesia. This study uses independent variables consisting of Capital Adequacy Ratio (CAR), Interest Rate (BI Rate), and Exchange Rate with the dependent variable is Loan To Deposit Ratio (LDR). The data used in this study is annual data from 2001-2019. The analytical method used is descriptive quantitative and processed using SPSS Version 24. The test results show that the Capital Adequacy Ratio (CAR) has no effect on the Loan To Deposit Ratio (LDR) while the interest rate (BI rate) has a significant negative effect and the exchange rate has a positive effect. significant to Loan To Deposit Ratio (LDR)Keywords : Loan To Deposit Ratio (LDR), Capital Adequacy Ratio (CAR), Interest Rate (BI Rate), and Exchange Rate

PENGARUH NILAI TUKAR MATA UANG ASING (KURS) DAN TINGKAT BUNGA (BI RATE) TERHADAP INDEKS HARGA SAHAM GABUNGAN YANG TERDAFTAR DI BURSA EFEK INDONESIA PERIODE 2005-2019 Hanita Destia; Syapsan Syapsan; Richard Rahmat
Jurnal Online Mahasiswa (JOM) Bidang Ilmu Ekonomi Vol 8, No 1 (2021): (Januari - Juni)
Publisher : Jurnal Online Mahasiswa (JOM) Bidang Ilmu Ekonomi

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This study aims to determine the effect of foreign currency exchange rates (exchange rates) and interest rates (bi rate) on the composite stock price index listed on the Indonesian stock exchange. The data used are time series data for the period 2005-2019. The analytical method used is multiple linear regression. The results of the research obtained are partially the exchange rate has a significant positive effect on the composite stock price index (IHSG) and the bi rate has a significant negative effect on the Composite Stock Price Index (IHSG) by adjusting R square 78.7% of the variable stock price index (IHSG). In this study, it can be influenced by the 2 independent variables, bi rate and exchange rate, while the remaining 21.3% is influenced by other factors outside the independent variable.Keywords: Kurs, Bi Rate, IHSG

PENGARUH PDRB SEKTOR PERTANIAN, UPAH MINIMUM, DAN NILAI TUKAR PETANI TERHADAP INFLASI BAHAN MAKANAN DI PROVINSI RIAU Jarda Anggi; Mayes Anthony; Richard Rahmat
Jurnal Online Mahasiswa (JOM) Bidang Ilmu Ekonomi Vol 8, No 2 (2021): (Juli - Desember)
Publisher : Jurnal Online Mahasiswa (JOM) Bidang Ilmu Ekonomi

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This study aims to determine the effect of Agricultural Sector Economic Growth, Minimum Wage, and Farmer's Exchange Rate on Foodstuff Inflation in Riau Province in 2011-2020. This study uses Time Series data related to research variables in Riau Province in 2011-2020 which are sourced from data from the Central Statistics Agency for Riau Province and Bank Indonesia. This research is a quantitative research. The analysis used is multiple regression analysis. With Operational Variables of Foodstuff Inflation (Y) as the dependent variable, the variable of Agricultural Sector Economic Growth (X1), Minimum Wage (X2), and Farmer's Exchange Rate (X3) as independent variables. The results of this study state that (1) Agricultural Sector Economic Growth has a negative and significant effect on Foodstuff Inflation in Riau Province in 2011-2020. (2) Minimum Wage has a positive and significant impact on Foodstuff Inflation in Riau Province in 2011-2020. (3) Farmer's Exchange Rate has a positive and significant effect on Foodstuff Inflation in Riau Province in 2011-2020. (4) Agricultural Sector Economic Growth, Minimum Wage, and Farmer's Exchange Rate simultaneously affect Foodstuff Inflation in Riau Province in 2011-2020. The influence given by the independent variable to the dependent variable is in a strong influence.Keywords: Inflation, Foodstuffs, Agriculture

PENGARUH SUKU BUNGA RIIL DAN PRODUK DOMESTIK BRUTO (PDB) TERHADAP INVESTASI PENANAMAN MODAL ASING (PMA) BERDASARKAN JANGKA PANJANG DAN JANGKA PENDEK DI INDONESIA TAHUN 2010 (Q1) – 2019 (Q4) Arfanjie Zulham; Richard Rahmat; Mardiana Mardiana
Jurnal Online Mahasiswa (JOM) Bidang Ilmu Ekonomi Vol 7, No 2 (2020): (Juli - Desember 2020)
Publisher : Jurnal Online Mahasiswa (JOM) Bidang Ilmu Ekonomi

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This study aims to determine the effect of real interest rates and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) significantly on foreign investment in the long term and short term in Indonesia Period 2010 (Q1) - 2019 (Q4). The method used in this research is descriptive and quantitative methods. The analytical model used is multiple linear regression analysis with the Error Correction Model (ECM) technique (help with EViews 10 software), where the end result will measure the effect of real interest rates and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) significantly on FDI investment in the long term and long term short. The results of this study indicate that real interest rates and gross domestic product (GDP) have a positive and significant effect on FDI in the long run. In the short term, real interest rates and gross domestic product (GDP) have a significant effect on FDI.Keywords: Real Interest Rates, Gross Domestic Product (GDP), Foreign Investment

KAUSALITAS EKSPOR TERHADAP FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT DI INDONESIA TAHUN 1995-2019 Nasution Magabe Hamid; Mayes Anthony; Richard Rahmat
Jurnal Online Mahasiswa (JOM) Bidang Ilmu Ekonomi Vol 8, No 2 (2021): (Juli - Desember)
Publisher : Jurnal Online Mahasiswa (JOM) Bidang Ilmu Ekonomi

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This study aims to determine whether there is a causal relationship between exports and foreign direct investment in Indonesia in 1995-2019. This study uses secondary data in the form of quantitative data in the form of time series, namely data on exports and foreign direct investment in Indonesia in 1995-2019 which are sourced from the Investment Coordinating Board (BKPM) and the Central Statistics Agency (BPS). In this study, the model used is the Vector Autoregressive (VAR) model with the Granger Causality Test technique to analyze the presence or absence of causality relationship of exports to foreign direct investment in Indonesia in 1995-2019 and calculated using the E-views 10 application software. From the tests that have been done, the results of this study show that from the Granger causality test that has been carried out on exports and foreign direct investment in Indonesia there is no causality relationship between the two, but there is a one-way relationship where exports affect foreign direct investment. However, foreign direct investment does not affect exports.Keywords : Foreign Direct Investment, Ekspor, Vector Autoregresive, Kausalitas Granger

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