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Pengaruh capital inflow terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi di Indonesia periode 2001-2012 Zulkarnain, Arif; Mayes, Anthony; Kornita, Sri Endang
Jurnal Online Mahasiswa (JOM) Bidang Ilmu Ekonomi Vol 2, No 1 (2015): Wisuda Februari 2015
Publisher : Jurnal Online Mahasiswa (JOM) Bidang Ilmu Ekonomi

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The global financial crisis that occurred at the end of 2008 have an impact on the world economy in 2009. The crisis is caused by a number of large financial institutions experiencing financial difficulties as in the USA, Europe and so on. Due to the high risk of investing in countries in crisis, then investors more confidence to invest in emerging markets countries. The purpose of this study was to observe the effect of capital inflows on economic growth in Indonesia 2001-2012 period. This study uses annual time series data from Indonesian Central Banks (BI) and the central statistical burue (BPS). The model used in this study was a simple linear regression method. The conclusion is the regression of the gross domestic product (GDP), foreign direct investment (FDI) and portfolio investment (PI) have a positive and significant on GDP. The magnitude of the effect that the (R2) FDI is 96% and the rest is explained by other factors outside the model. While PI of 92,4% and the rest is explained by other factors outside the model. The regression result previously FDI and PI previous year to economic growth, show that both have a positive effect on economic growth in Indonesia during the period of study. The magnitude of the effect that the (R2) FDI the previous year was 47,9% and the rest is explained by other factor soutside the model. While the effect of PI previous year amounted to 59.7% and the rest is influenced by other factors outside the model.Keywords : Capital inflow, Gross domestic product (GDP), economic growth.

ANALISIS PENILAIAN TINGKAT KESEHATAN BANK DENGAN MENGGUNAKAN METODE CAMEL PADA PT. BANK MEGA INDONESIA PERIODE TAHUN 2003-2013 Alin, Geby; Mayes, Anthony; ', Rosyetti
Jurnal Online Mahasiswa (JOM) Bidang Ilmu Ekonomi Vol 2, No 2 (2015): Wisuda Oktober 2015
Publisher : Jurnal Online Mahasiswa (JOM) Bidang Ilmu Ekonomi

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The role of national banks in developing economies is one of the sectors that are expected to play an active role in supporting the activities of national and regional development, through factor trust and soundness of banks that affect prospectiveinvestors against a bank. This study aimed to examine the bank kesahtan at PT. Mega Bank Indonesia in the period 2003 - 2013 by using CAMEL which consists of 7 ratios are: Capital Adequacy Ratio (CAR), Assets Quality (KAP), Allowance for EarningAssets (PPAP), Net Profit Margin (NPM), Return On assets (ROA), Operating Expenses to Operating Expenses (ROA), Cash Ratio (CR), and a loan to deposit ratio / Financing Deposit Ratio (LDR / FDR). From the analysis it can be concluded that PT. Mega Bank Indonesia from 2003-2013 predicated quite healthy, that as the appropriate standard of health value awarded fairly healthy bank with a credit score 75.Keywords: CAMEL, conventional, syariah

ANALISIS PERMINTAAN UANG KUASI DI INDONESIA PERIODE 2000-2014 Putro, Tri Sukirno; Mayes, Anthony
Jurnal Online Mahasiswa (JOM) Bidang Ilmu Ekonomi Vol 2, No 2 (2015): Wisuda Oktober 2015
Publisher : Jurnal Online Mahasiswa (JOM) Bidang Ilmu Ekonomi

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US $ and 3-month deposit rate of the quasi money demand in Indonesia period 2000-2014.This study uses annual time series data obtained from the Central Bureau of Statistics, Economic and Financial Statistics Indonesia and Bank Indonesia. The analysis model used in this study is motode Multiple Linear Regression with SPSS version 22. From the results of tests performed with Simultaneous Regression Test (Test F) indicate that significant value 0.000> 0.05, which means jointly variables gross domestic product, exchange rates (exchange rate) and the 3-month deposit rates affect the demand for the number of quasi-money in Indonesia the period 2000-2014. Partial Regression Test (Test t) produces t value of gross domestic product> 14 314 t table> 2,262 gross domestic product, which means a positive effect on demand for quasi-money. Exchange rate variable yield amounted to 1,611 t value <2.262, which means, the rupiah positive effect on the demand for quasi-money in Indonesia. Variable 3-month deposit rate has a value t is smaller than t table is 0.790 <2.262 means that the deposit rate 3-month positive effect on the demand for quasi-money in Indonesia. The magnitude of the effect caused by the value (R2) is 0.981, which means that jointly gross domestic product, exchange rates and 3-month deposit rate affects the demand for quasi-money in Indonesia amounted to 98.1% while the remaining 1.9% is affected by the other variables not examined in this study.Keywords: Gross Domestic Product, Exchange, Deposit Interest and Money Quasi 3 months.

PENGARUH PRODUK DOMESTIK BRUTO, INFLASI DAN CAPITAL ACCOUNT TERHADAP NILAI TUKAR RUPIAH ATAS DOLLAR AMERIKA SERIKAT PERIODE TAHUN 2001-2014 Wilya. R, Sherly; Putro, Tri Sukirno; Mayes, Anthony
Jurnal Online Mahasiswa (JOM) Bidang Ilmu Ekonomi Vol 2, No 2 (2015): Wisuda Oktober 2015
Publisher : Jurnal Online Mahasiswa (JOM) Bidang Ilmu Ekonomi

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This study aimed to analyze the influence of the Gross Domestic Product, inflation and Capital Account to the exchange rate on the US dollar. Variables used in this study is the rupiah, gross domestic product, Inflation and Capital Account.This study was conducted in Indonesia and using multiple linear regression analysis to test the hypothesis using SPSS version 20. The type of data used are time series starting from the year 2001 to 2014. Simultaneous test results (F) 0.010 <0.05 indicates that GDP, inflation, and Capital Acccount simultaneously affect the exchange rate. While the partial test or (t) shows that GDP 3.082> 2.228 means that GDP affect the exchange rate and inflation 2.391> 2.228 means inflation variables affect the exchange rate, while the capital account -0.498 <2.228, which means no significant effect on the exchange rate. Additionally obtained adjusted R-square value was 56.6%. This means that 56.6% of the rupiah against the dollar exchange rate movements can be predicted from the three variables, while 43.4% is explained by other variables.Keywords: exchange rate, gross domestic product, inflation,and capital account.

PENGARUH NILAI TUKAR, SUKU BUNGA KREDIT DAN INFLASI TERHADAP ALIRAN MODAL JANGKA PENDEK DI INDONESIA (Studi Kasus Tahun 2000-2015) Siregar, Rifqah Pratiwi; ', B. Isyandi; Mayes, Anthony
Jurnal Online Mahasiswa (JOM) Bidang Ilmu Ekonomi Vol 4, No 1 (2017): Wisuda Februari
Publisher : Jurnal Online Mahasiswa (JOM) Bidang Ilmu Ekonomi

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This research was conducted in Indonesia. The purpose of this study was to determine the effect of exchange rates, lending rates and inflation on short-term capital flows (portfolio investment) and to know which variable is more dominant influence on short-term capital flows (portfolio investment). This study uses time series data over the period 2000-2015, which is a secondary data obtained from Bank Indonesia Riau Province, the Central Statistics Agency of Riau Province. Data were processed using SPSS 2.10 analytical tools using multiple linear regression analysis with OLS (Ordinary Least Square). Further statistical tests on the study include F-test, t-test, and R2 (coefficient of determination) as well as the classical assumption test. The results of data analysis using OLS (Ordinary Least Square) shows that the exchange rate positive and significant impact on the flow of short-term capital (portfolio investment) in Indonesia, mortgage interest rates have a negative and significant impact on the flow of short-term capital (portfolio investment) in Indonesia, while inflation has and no significant negative influence on short-term capital flows (portfolio investment) in Indonesia. Tests on the classical assumption that the model results of research obtained free of symptoms of normality, multicollinearity,autocorrelation, andheterokedastisitas.Keywords: Exchange Rate, Interest Rates, Inflation and Portfolio Investment

FAKTOR-FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI PENYALURAN KREDIT PADA BANK PERKREDITAN RAKYAT (BPR) DI PROVINSI RIAU TAHUN 2006-2015 Gift, Vhietrin; Putro, Tri Sukirno; Mayes, Anthony
Jurnal Online Mahasiswa (JOM) Bidang Ilmu Ekonomi Vol 4, No 1 (2017): Wisuda Februari
Publisher : Jurnal Online Mahasiswa (JOM) Bidang Ilmu Ekonomi

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This research aims to find out how to the influence of third parties funds, interest rates, and Non Performing Loan agains the distribution of credit on the Bank of the People in Riau Province during 2006-2015. The data used in this research is the data time series from 2006 to 2015 obtained from annual data published by Bank Indonesia. The analytical method used is multiple regression analysis. Tests conducted on the hypothesis and the reliability of the data (assuming classical) using significance level of 5%. From the results of this research were obtained that the variabel of third parties funds, interest rates and Non Performing Loan simultaneously give significant effects agains the distribution of credit on the Bank of the People in Riau Province during 2006-2015 with F of 716,659 and significant level of 0,000. From the results of the t-test with significant levels of partial a = 5% is obtained that the variabel of third parties funds effect positive and significant, interest rates effect positive and insignificant and Non Performing Loan effect positive and significant agains the distribution of credit on the Bank of the People in Riau Province during 2006-2015. While third parties funds has variabel influence the more dominant agains the distribution of credit on the Bank of the People with significant levels of 0,000. Great influence posed (Adjusted R-Square) by a third variabel to the variabel dependent is 99,6%, 0,4% while the rest is affected by other variabels not examined in this research.Keywords : Distribution Of Credit, Third Parties Funds, Interest Rates, Non Performing Loan (NPL)

ANALISIS JALUR TRANSMISI BI RATE TERHADAP NILAI TUKAR RUPIAH DI INDONESIA Nafisah Al Ali Daulay; Anthony Mayes; Yusni Maulida
Jurnal Ekonomi Vol 21, No 01 (2013)
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis, Universitas Riau

Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui time lag (tenggang waktu) yangdibutuhkan variabel-variabel moneter dalam jalur nilai tukar hingga terwujudnyasasaran antara yaitu nilai tukar serta besarnya kontribusi masing-masingvariabel terhadap fluktuasi nilai tukar. Variabel dalam penelitian ini adalah nilaitukar rupiah terhadap dollar AS, Net Foreign Assets (NFA) dan perbedaan sukubunga dalam dan luar negeri. Model anaslisis data yang digunakan adalahVector Aautoregresive (VAR), dengan data bulanan dari 2005:1 sampai dengan2010:12.Dari hasil penelitian diketahui bahwa variable NFA membutuhkan time lag(tenggang waktu) lima bulan untuk merespon perubahan perbedaan suku bungadalam dan luar negeri, kemudian nilai tukar membutuhkan time lag satu bulanuntuk merespon NFA. Jadi time lag yang dibutuhkan variabel-variabel moneterdalam jalur nilai tukar hingga terwujudnya sasaran akhir adalah enam bulan.Kontribusi NFA dalam mempengaruhifluktuasi nilai tukar sebesar 11.94%,kemudian kontribusi perbedaan suku bunga dalam dan luar negeri hanya 0.43%,dan yang paling besar adalah kontribusi nilai tukar it sendiri yaitu sebesar87.63%.Kata kunci : kebijakan moneter, perbedaan suku bunga dalam dan luar negeri,net foreign assets (NFA), kurs, dan vector autoregressive (VAR).

Analisis Peran Perbankan Dalam Perekonomian Di Kabupaten Siak Sri Endang Kornita; Anthony Mayes
Jurnal Ekonomi Vol 18, No 01 (2010)
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis, Universitas Riau

Peran perbankan dalam memacu perekonomian daerah dapat secara langsungdan tidak langsung. Secara langsung melalui kredit yang diberikan terhadapBUMD dan selanjutnya berpengaruh terhadap peningkatan Pendapatan AsliDaerah (PAD). Pengaruh tidak langsung yaitu melalui kredit yang diberikanterhadap pelaku ekonomi seperti : Kredit Konsumsi, Kredit Produktif yangmeliputi Kredit Modal Kerja, Kredit Investasi dan Kredit UMKM yangselanjutnya akan berpengaruh terhadap peningkatan kegiatan perekonomian dankesempatan kerja serta lebih lanjut akan berpengaruh terhadap peningkatanpendapatan, peningkatan daya beli, peningkatan usaha yang aldtimya akanberpengaruh terhadap peningkatan penerimaan pajakdan retribusi.

Analisis Perdagangan Komoditas Perikanan Di Kecamatan Bantan Kabupaten Bengkalis (The Analysis of Trade on Fishery Commodity in Sub District Bantan, Bengkalis Regency) Sri Endang Kornita; Yusbar Yusuf; Anthony Mayes
Jurnal Ekonomi Vol 17, No 02 (2009)
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis, Universitas Riau

The trade on fishery commodity need to examine the effectively for the fisher welfare.The objective of this research was to examine the trade of fisher in sub districtBantan, Bengkalis Regency, Riau Province. Primary data were collected throughfield research and 20 fishers had been deeply interviewed.Based on the result of research shown that trade, undoubtedly, had played animportant income in developing fisher establishments in Bantan. Comparative by thetrade have done by fisher at local and the cross island, to cross boundary; shown thetrade margin fr-omfisheryproducts are more better at the cross boundary trade, butfishfarmer sharefromfisheryproducts are more better at cross island trade.

ANALISIS PENGARUH PINJAMAN LUAR NEGERI, SURAT UTANG NEGARA, PENERIMAAN PAJAK DAN INFLASI TERHADAP DEFISIT ANGGARAN DI INDONESIA SEBELUM DAN SESUDAH TAHUN 2000 Agustina Suryani; Anthony Mayes; Rosyetti '
Jurnal Online Mahasiswa (JOM) Bidang Ilmu Ekonomi Vol 4, No 1 (2017): Wisuda Februari
Publisher : Jurnal Online Mahasiswa (JOM) Bidang Ilmu Ekonomi

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This research aims to examine the effect of variable foreign debt, tax revenues and inflation of budget deficit in Indonesia in the year of 1985-1999; and the effect of variable foreign debt, government debt securities, tax revenue and inflation of budget deficit in Indonesia in the year of 2000-2015. This research used secondary data in the year of 1985-2015 sourced from Nota Keuangan and Statistik Ekonomi dan Keuangan Indonesia. In this research use analysis method with multiple linear regression analysis before and after 2000, using analysis tool SPSS version 23. Based on the results of these tests show that in the year of 1985-1999 variable foreign debt, tax revenue and inflation simultaneously significantly to influential of Indonesia’s budget deficit with F-statistic 96,550 with probabilty value is 0,000 and value is 0,953 containing the meaning of 95,3 percent budget deficit influenced by foreign debt, tax revenues and inflation. And in the year of 2000-2015 variable government debt securities, foreign debt, tax revenue and inflation simultaneously significantly to influential of Indonesia’s budget deficit with F-statistic 30,394 with probabilty value is 0,000 and value is 0,887 containing the meaning of 88,7 percent budget deficit influenced by government debt securities, foreign debt, tax revenues and inflation.Keyword : Budget Deficit, Foreign Debt, Government Debt Securities, Tax Revenue And Inflation.

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