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PERAMALAN INFLASI MENGGUNAKAN METODE SARIMA DAN SINGLE EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING (STUDI KASUS: KOTA BANDUNG) Rifqi Fahrudin; Irfan Dwiguna Sumitra
Majalah Ilmiah UNIKOM Vol 17 No 2 (2020): Majalah Ilmiah Unikom
Publisher : Universitas Komputer Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (806.36 KB) | DOI: 10.34010/miu.v17i2.3180

Abstract

ABSTRACT Inflation is one of the economic phenomena that is always interesting to discuss mainly related to its broad impact on macroeconomics, such as economic growth, external balance, competitiveness, interest rates, and even income distribution. Inflation plays an important role in determining economic conditions, so it needs to get serious attention from various circles, especially the monetary authority responsible for controlling inflation. If inflation can be predicted with high accuracy, it can certainly be used as a basis for government policy making in anticipating future economic activity. This study aims to produce inflation forecast data. The method used in this study is the SARIMA method and Single Exponential Smoothing. In forecasting the rate of inflation where data is in the form of time series, the SARIMA method can show more accurate forecasting results than using the SES method. Based on the comparison of the overall forecasting model, the SARIMA model (2,1,1)(1,1,1) 11 has the smallest error value with a MAD value of 0.117, MSE 0.023 and 0.72% for MAPE. From these results it was collected that the inflation forecasting in Bandung using the SARIMA method has a high accuracy value. Key words: Inflation, Forecasting, SARIMA, SES
Perancangan Kerangka Kerja Togaf Untuk Mendukung Pengembangan Sistem Informasi Produksi PT. XYZ Anggun Fergina; Irfan Dwiguna Sumitra
Jurnal Tata Kelola dan Kerangka Kerja Teknologi Informasi Vol 6 No 1 (2020): Mei 2020
Publisher : Universitas Komputer Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.34010/jtk3ti.v5i1.4006

Abstract

PT XYZ is a textile company located in Cimahi City with a focus on producing fabrics to be used as suits and clothes. In processing production, and recording production results to improve business processes, PT XYZ is assisted by using an information system to reduce input errors and can be integrated between divisions in the production process. TIASA is an information system to support and bridge the company's internal business processes with the SAP information system. TIASA has a goal in several menu features that suit the company's business processes, from human resources to production processes. Based on the problems in TIASA information systems, especially in the production section, it is necessary to develop a production information system for PT XYZ using the TOGAF architecture development method (ADM) to integrate several parts of the production process. Based on the research results, the togaf framework design to support the development of PT XYZ's production information system using the togaf architecture development method (ADM) can provide blueprint guidelines and documentation for future developments. In this model, includes the scope of data architecture, application architecture, and technology architecture as an enterprise architectural design. Index Terms—Togaf, Architecture Development Method, enterprise architecture planning, textile, production, blueprints.
Peramalan Penjualan Barang Single Variant Menggunakan Metode ARIMA, Trend Analysis dan Single Exponential Smoothing Irfan Dwiguna Sumitra; Fajar Sidqi
Jurnal Tata Kelola dan Kerangka Kerja Teknologi Informasi Vol 6 No 1 (2020): Mei 2020
Publisher : Universitas Komputer Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.34010/jtk3ti.v6i1.5537

Abstract

The availability of goods in a store is very important. Forecasting is a tool that is used to help predict data needed by an organization or company. The purpose of this study is to predict the sale of a product that has a high risk of damage and fast expiration time by using existing techniques in forecasting. Forecasting can also be used to make product stock safety at the XYZ Supermarket. The results of this study are in the form of forecasting the sale of a product in a store by using the existing methods of forecasting that are adjusted to the sales data of one product. The method used in forecasting is the ARIMA method, Trend Analysis, and Single Exponential Smoothing. Trend Analysis Method has the highest accuracy with MAPE 9.91%, which means that forecasting is very good, compared to ARIMA with MAPE 37.21% and Single Exponential Smoothing with MAPE 10%. So that the results of the Trend Analysis forecasting will be used for the decision-making process about forecasting stockpiles and stock safety in the future.
Perancangan Enterprise Architecture Menggunakan TOGAF ADM dan Critical Path Method Pada Project Management Irfan Dwiguna Sumitra; Luthfi Azizi
Jurnal Tata Kelola dan Kerangka Kerja Teknologi Informasi Vol 6 No 2 (2020): November 2020
Publisher : Universitas Komputer Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.34010/jtk3ti.v6i2.5540

Abstract

The purpose of this research is to plan and design an Enterprise Architecture to assist Project Management activities in CV. Aksata Creative Design in accordance with the needs and abilities of the company itself. In this research, two methods were used to design the Enterprise Architecture, namely TOGAF ADM Method and Critical Path Method, as a framework that will help in designing the Enterprise Architecture for project management in CV. Aksata Creative Design. This study uses only six phases out of nine phases of the existing Architectural Development Method. Furthermore, from the analysis and the given recommendation, the company’s migration and planning stages must be prepared in order to support the Enterprise Architecture for project management in CV. Aksata Creative Design. The conclusion of this study is a blueprint of Enterprise Architecture design that will be the recommendation of this properly conducted research and it is expected to be used in improving business processes to become more organized so that both of the company's vision and mission are aligned with the IT support.
Perencanaan Strategi dan Kebijakan untuk Mengukur Keselarasan TI dengan Bisnis Menggunakan SAMM Irfan Dwiguna Sumitra; M I Mutakin
Jurnal Tata Kelola dan Kerangka Kerja Teknologi Informasi Vol 7 No 2 (2021): November 2021
Publisher : Universitas Komputer Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.34010/jtk3ti.v7i2.5553

Abstract

CV. Adiwarna Tunggal Jaya is a company engaged in the distribution of daily necessities. Products distributed include wipes, diapers, soap, etc. IT investment is starting to be seen as a strategic investment by CV. Adiwarna Tunggal Jaya. Because the IT and business alignment measurement has never been done before, the management has difficulty ensuring that the IT strategy implemented in the company is in accordance with its business strategy or not. This research will discuss how to measure maturity level based on the model created by Luftman, namely the Strategic Alignment Maturity Model (SAMM) in order to help CV. Adiwarna Tunggal Jaya knows the maturity level of its strategic alignment so that better corrective actions can be implemented. The level of maturity of the alignment contained in the CV. Adiwarna Tunggal Jaya is at level 2 with a score of 2.14. The strategy made so that maturity can be increased to level 3. The policies made totaled 27 points.
Perancangan Enterprise Architecture melalui Pendekatan Infrastructure As A Service untuk Sistem Informasi Digital Mahasiswa di Universitas DIPA Makassar Irfan Dwiguna Sumitra; Herman Heriadi
Jurnal Tata Kelola dan Kerangka Kerja Teknologi Informasi Vol 8 No 1 (2022): Mei 2022
Publisher : Universitas Komputer Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.34010/jtk3ti.v8i1.5591

Abstract

Universitas DIPA Makassar adalah sebuah enterprise yang memiliki beberapa unit bisnis yang berkaitan dengan kegiatan pembelajaran mahasiswa. Masing-masing unit bisnis tersebut memiliki sistem terpisah sehingga rawan terjadi masalah dalam pengalokasian sumber daya. Hal ini mengakibatkan data yang digunakan tidak konsisten. Untuk mengatasi masalah konsistensi data tersebut diperlukan pembaharuan sistem pada masing-masing unit bisnis pada perguruan tinggi. Adapun langkah pertama dalam pembaharuan sistem tersebut adalah perancangan sistem. Perancangan sistem pada penelitian ini menggunakan framework Enterprise Architecture Planning (EAP). Framework EAP dimaksudkan untuk membuat masing-masing unit bisnis yang dimiliki oleh perguruan tinggi menjadi terintegrasi dalam satu sistem terpadu. Sistem terpadu ini kemudian akan diterapkan menggunakan salah satu layanan berbasis komputasi awan yaitu Infrastructure as a Service (IaaS). Adapun layanan IaaS yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini adalah Amazon Web Service (AWS). Keyword : framework EAP, IaaS, AWS
Perancangan Arsitektur Enterprise Fungsi Monitoring Dan Evaluasi Menggunakan TOGAF Adm Di Pemerintahan Irfan Dwiguna Sumitra; Rifaldi Herikson
Jurnal Tata Kelola dan Kerangka Kerja Teknologi Informasi Vol 8 No 2 (2022): November 2022
Publisher : Universitas Komputer Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar

Abstract

Sesuai dengan Peraturan Walikota Tanjungpinang Nomor 47 Tahun 2019 Tentang Penjabaran Tupoksi Organisasi, dan Tata Kerja Sekretariat Daerah dan Staf Ahli, Bagian Administrasi Pembangunan merupakan instansi bagian yang bertanggung jawab penuh kepada Asisten Perekonomian dan Pembangunan. Proses bisnis saat ini belum berjalan optimal terutama untuk monitoring dan evaluasi kegiatan pembangunan daerah. Pada aktivitas pengumpulan laporan realisasi dan pembuatan rekapitulasi masih dilakukan manual. Berdasarkan permasalahan tersebut, maka dirancanglah sebuah arsitektur enterprise untuk mendukung proses monitoring dan evaluasi pembangunan di Bagian Administrasi Pembangunan. Dalam penelitian ini, tahapan penelitian yang dilakukan berupa mengumpulkan data, menganalisis alur sistem, dan merancang aplikasi. Tujuan dari pengumpulan data agar mendapatkan data valid melalui teknik wawancara, observasi, dokumentasi, dan studi literatur. Mekanisme sistem saat ini akan dianalisis oleh value chain dan gap analysis. Pada bagian ini, perancangan aplikasi didasarkan oleh kebutuhan organisasi dengan menerapkan framework TOGAF ADM. Terdapat lima fase yang dibahas terdiri dari fase pendahuluan, manajemen kebutuhan, arsitektur vision, arsitektur business, arsitektur information system, arsitektur technology, serta opportunities and solutions. Adapun alat bantu pada penelitian ini yaitu UML dan BPMN. Dengan adanya usulan model arsitektur, dapat menjadi landasan kegiatan pengadaan dan pengembangan berbasis sistem informasi untuk monitoring dan evaluasi di Bagian Administrasi Pembangunan.