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Agus Salim
Sekolah Bisnis Dan Ekonomi Universitas Prasetiya Mulya
Economics, Econometrics & Finance

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Pengaruh Variabel Makroekonomi terhadap Yield Spread Obligasi Pemerintah Republik Indonesia Aurelia S.I. Ongko; Jesslyn Santoso; Kayla Lukman; Virliza I. Rahardjo; Agus Salim
Ecosains: Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol 10, No 2 (2021): Ecosains: Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Padang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24036/ecosains.11564257.00

Abstract

This study examines several macroeconomic factors from April 2016 to March 2021, including the BI Rate, Credit Default Swap, Inflation, and Money Supply (M2). This study uses the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) regression method followed by Error Correction Model (ECM) analysis to see the relationship in the short term and Level Equation to determine the long term relationship between independent and dependent variables.. The results of this study finally prove that BI Rate, Credit Default Swap, and Inflation affect the long-term distribution yield spread, while the money supply (M2) does not affect it. Meanwhile, macroeconomic factors that affect the yield spread in the short-term are only the BI Rate variable.
Penggunaan Ordered Response Framework dalam Menentukan Faktor-Faktor Penentu Peringkat Utang Negara-Negara ASEAN+ Agus Salim
Ecosains: Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol 11, No 1 (2022): Ecosains: Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Padang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24036/ecosains.11875157.00

Abstract

By using the Ordered Response Framework, this research studies the factors that determine the rating agencies in rating national debt, especially countries in the Southeast Asian region. The results obtained indicate that the model obtained with the Ordered Response Framework approach is quite good in determining the factors that determine the rating of the sovereign debt and in predicting levels and changes in ratings over time.
Eksplorasi Harga Bahan Pokok sebagai Indikator Dini Pengendalian Inflasi di Sumatera Barat Kory Rahmat Fauzi; Agus Salim; Doni Satria
Ecosains: Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol 12, No 1 MEI (2023): Ecosains: Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Padang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24036/ecosains.12291057.00

Abstract

This study explores inflation’s leading indicators in West Sumatra using ten strategic commodities prices. These ten strategic commodities are rice, beef, chicken meat, chicken egg, onion, garlic, red chili, cayenne pepper, cooking oil, and sugar. This study employs the Granger Causality Test to infer the inflation’s leading indicators in West Sumatra using monthly time series data from August 2017 up to December 2021. The results show red chili and chicken meat have a positive and significant effect on inflation in West Sumatra and can be used as Leading Indicators of West Sumatra inflation. The main implication of this finding is the inflation rate would be as volatile as red chili and chicken meat prices.
Co-Authors Aurelia S.I. Ongko Doni Satria Jesslyn Santoso Kayla Lukman Kory Rahmat Fauzi Virliza I. Rahardjo