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PENGGABUNGAN PASAR GULA KONSUMSI LANGSUNG DENGAN PASAR GULA INDUSTRI Wayan R. Susila; Ernawati Munadi
Jurnal Manajemen & Agribisnis Vol. 4 No. 1 (2007): Vol. 4 No. 1 Maret 2007
Publisher : School of Business, Bogor Agricultural University (SB-IPB)

The government policy to separate the sugar market for direct consumption from industrial use has raised conflicts between sugar producers in both markets. This is due to the fact that the sugar in the industrial use market enters the market of sugar direct consumption, vice versa. To overcome this conflict, merging both markets as adopted in most countries is a potential policy option. This study aims to asses the magnitude and distribution of the impact of merging the markets. The results of the analysis showed that the impacts will strongly be influnced by the price of the sugar in the international market. When the price is low (US$ 300/ton), the producers of sugar direct consumption (faremers and sugar white sugar plants) will suffer from the merger, while refine sugar producers and consumers will gain benefits. However, as a whole the merger will create a net surplus around Rp 560 Billion. The reverse will occur if the merger is implemented when the sugar price is high (US$ 350/ton). As a whole, the merger will cause welfare lose of around Rp 1500 Billion. To overcome the negative impacts of the mergers, some policies options are also proposed in this study

IMPACTS OF CPO-EXPORT TAX ON SEVERAL ASPECTS OF INDONESIAN CPO INDUSTRY Wayan R. Susila
Jurnal Manajemen & Agribisnis Vol. 1 No. 2 (2004): Vol. 1 No. 2 Oktober 2004
Publisher : School of Business, Bogor Agricultural University (SB-IPB)

To control domestic supply and price of crude palm oil (CPO) and cooking oil, the government of Indonesia has imposed CPO-export tax since August 1994. As the CPO industry in plays an important role in Indonesian economy, the imposition of the tax has perceived to have substantial impacts on various aspects of the industry, such as on investment, production, trade, farm income, and welfare distribution. In line of this issue, the main objective of this study is to assess these impacts using an econometric model of the industry. The results of the study reveal that this export tax policy has inhibited the growth rate of investment, production, export, and farm income. On the other hand, this policy has been an effective instrument to control domestic CPO and cooking oil price. Moreover, this policy has caused a substantial welfare transfer from producers to consumers and the government. To compromise these conflicting impacts, an alternative CPO tax formula is also proposed within this paper.

Model Keterpaduan Jadual Tanam Dan Tebang Tebu: Pendekatan Kompromi Wayan R. Susila; M. Parulian Hutagaol
Jurnal Manajemen & Agribisnis Vol. 2 No. 2 (2005): Vol. 2 No. 2 Oktober 2005
Publisher : School of Business, Bogor Agricultural University (SB-IPB)

One of the main problems causing a setback of Indonesian sugar industry is inefficiency in farm and plont levels because of lack of integratedproduction system. In response to this problem, this study is aimed at building a model of integratedproduction systems between form and sugar plont activities through on integrotedplonting and horvesfingschedule. The opproach used is a compromise opproach using a multiparty multi objective (MPMO) models. The results of this study show that productivity in farm and sugar plant can be improved by developing an integrated production system through an integratedplanting and harvesting schedule. With supervisions and model modi$cation, the MPMO model can be applied, especially for sugar plantation in Java. Keywords : Sugar Industy, MPMO Model, Tebu, Model Kompromi

PELUANG PENGEMBANGAN KELAPA SAWIT DI INDONESIA: PERSPEKTIF JANGKA PANJANG 2025 WAYAN R. SUSILA
SOCA: Jurnal Sosial Ekonomi Pertanian Vol. 6, No. 3 November 2006
Publisher : Program Studi Agribisnis, Fakultas Pertanian, Universitas Udayana Jalan PB.Sudirman Denpasar, Bali, Indonesia. Telp: (0361) 223544 Email: soca@unud.ac.id

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After experiencing fast growth rates in 1990th, palm oil industry in Indonesiais facing some constraints that make investors have been reluctant to invest in theindustry. The aim of this paper is to analyze prospects and business opportunities ofthe industry, by using a long run time horizon of 2005-2025. The results of analysisindicate that the world CPO consumption is estimated to be around 41.15 – 44.45million tones in 2025. With the world CPO production in 2004 was around 25.67million tones, and then the opportunities to increase production by 2025 wasestimated between 15.78 – 18.78 million tones. Indonesia was predicted to gain thehigher share in capturing this market opportunities (40%) or around 6.31 – 7.51million tones, equivalent to 1.80 – 2.15 million ha of area expansion. Total investmentrequired for area expansion and CPO plants development by 2020 is estimated at Rp57.12 – Rp 67.97 trillion. In capturing these opportunities, investors have to face 22investment constraints, mainly limited funding sources, the negative impacts ofregional autonomy, land conflict, and environmental issue.

DAMPAK PAJAK EKSPOR CPO TERHADAP BEBERAPA ASPEK INDUSTRI CPO INDONESIA: SIMULASI MODEL EKONOMETRIK (IMPACTS OF CPO-EXPORT TAX ON SEVERAL ASPECTS OF INDONESIAN CPO INDUSTRY: SIMULATION OF ECONOMETRIC MODEL) WAYAN R. SUSILA; IDM. DARMA SETIAWAN
SOCA: Jurnal Sosial Ekonomi Pertanian Vol. 1, No. 2 Juli 2001
Publisher : Program Studi Agribisnis, Fakultas Pertanian, Universitas Udayana Jalan PB.Sudirman Denpasar, Bali, Indonesia. Telp: (0361) 223544 Email: soca@unud.ac.id

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To control domestic supply and price of crude palm oil (CPO) and cooking oil, thegovernment of Indonesia has imposed CPO-export tax since August 1994. As the CPO industry playsan important role in Indonesian economy, the imposition of the tax has perceived to have substantialimpacts on various aspects of the industry, such as on investment, production, trade, farm income, andwelfare distribution. In line of this issue, the main objective of this study is to assess these impactsusing an econometric model of the industry.The results of the study reveal that this export tax policy has inhibited the growth rate ofinvestment, production, export, and farm income. On the other hand, this policy has been an effectiveinstrument to control domestic CPO and cocking oil price. Moreover, this policy has caused asubstantial welfare transfer from producers to consumers and the government. To compromise theseconflicting impacts, an alternative CPO tax formula is also proposed within this paper.

AGRIBISNIS PERKEBUNAN MEMASUKI AWAL ABAD 21: BEBERAPA AGENDA PENTING WAYAN R. SUSILA; BAMBANG DRADJAT
SOCA: Jurnal Sosial Ekonomi Pertanian Vol. 1, No. 1 Februari 2001
Publisher : Program Studi Agribisnis, Fakultas Pertanian, Universitas Udayana Jalan PB.Sudirman Denpasar, Bali, Indonesia. Telp: (0361) 223544 Email: soca@unud.ac.id

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Estate-crop agribusiness has played and is still expected to play important roles inIndonesian economy. Besides its consistent contribution on economic growth and foreignexchange earning, it provides employment for more than 13 million people. In the beginningof 21st century, the estate-crop agribusiness will face various new important agenda andstrategic business environment changes related to this subsector, namely, production cost,commodity prices, market competition, trade liberalization, production policies, trade policies,regional autonomy, environmental issues, and plantation plundering. Some of them willdepress the development of the subsector in the beginning of 21st century, while the otherswill provide better opportunities for the development of the subsector or their net impacts arestill vague. To optimize the roles of the estate-crop subsector agribusiness, various importantagenda and strategic business environment changes related to the subsector should bemanaged in a such way that the negative impacts of the changes can be minimized while thepositive and vague impacts can be converted to be a growth engine of the subsector inentering the beginning of 21th century.

Tinjauan Metode Penelitian "Mengakomodasikan Aspek Politik ke dalam Model: Kasus Hipotetis Pir Tebu" Wayan R. Susila
Jurnal Agro Ekonomi Vol 18, No 1 (1999): Jurnal Agro Ekonomi
Publisher : Pusat Sosial Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Pertanian

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EnglishPublic interest or public good phenomena are generally technical in nature but political in perspective. On the other hand, political aspects of the phenomena are often ignored or inadequately captured in analyses (models). As a result, the recommendations of this kind of study will be characterized by either ineffective policy research or misguided policy implications. To overcome this problems, the model used in a analysis should able to explicitly incorporate political aspects of the phenomena in the model. In response to this need, a multy party-multy objective model using STEP method is discussed in this paper. The discussions cover the theoretical framework and the solution technique of the model. Moreover, the use of the model to determine various agreements or rule in sugar-cane development scheme is also demonstrated to give a more comprehensive feature of the model.IndonesiaFenomena yang berkaitan dengan kepentingan umum atau komoditas umum pada dasarnya adalah masalah teknis namun mempunyai perspektif politik. Di sisi lain, masalah politik dari fenomena tersebut sering diabaikan atau ditangkap secara tidak memadai dalam analisis. Sebagai akibatnya, rekomendasi yang dihasilkan oleh analisis ini akan dicirikan oleh rekomendasi kebijakan yang tidak efektif atau implikasi kebijakan yang salah arah. Untuk mengatasi masalah ini, model analisis yang digunakan harus secara eksplisit mampu mengakomodasikan aspek politik dalam model. Sejalan dengan kebutuhan tersebut, multi party-multi objective model dengan menggunakan metode STEP akan didiskusikan dalam tulisan ini. Diskusi tersebut akan mencakup kerangka berfikir serta teknik solusi model tersebut. Penggunaan model tersebut untuk menentukan beberapa kesepakatan atau aturan dalam pola pengembangan tebu juga ditujukan dalam tulisan ini guna memberi gambaran yang lebih lengkap mengenai model tersebut.

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