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All Journal JURNAL AGRILAND Jurnal Pertanian Agros Budapest International Research and Critics Institute-Journal (BIRCI-Journal): Humanities and Social Sciences
Mariana Eva Yanti
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Religion Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Arts Humanities Economics, Econometrics & Finance Social Sciences

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faktor-faktor ekonomi yang mempengaruhi fluktuasi harga beras di Sumatera Utara Mariana Eva Yanti; Surya Dharma; Muhammad Ilham Riyadh
AGRILAND Jurnal Ilmu Pertanian Vol 8, No 2 (2020): Agriland: Jurnal Ilmu Pertanian
Publisher : Universitas Islam sumatera Utara

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.30743/agr.v8i2.3085

Abstract

Metode analisis yang digunakan adalah analilis deskriptif dan analisis Vector Auto Regression (VAR). Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa : 1) Faktor-faktor yang secara dominan mempengaruhi harga beras di Sumatera Utara ada 2 yaitu yang pertama produksi 60% di karenakan semakin tinggi produksi beras maka harga beras akan mengalami penurunan dan semakin rendah produksinya maka harga beras akan mengalami kenaikan dan faktor kedua yaitu inflasi 38% di karenakan bila harag beras secara terus menerus mengalami kenaikan kan terjadi inflasi, tetapi berbeda dengan kenyataannya harga beras mengalami fluktuasi yang disebabkan oleh kestabilan harga beras. 2) Faktor-faktor yang mempengaruhi harga beras di Sumatera Utara dalam jangka pendek yang signifikan yaitu inflasi dan dalam jangka panjang terdapat lima faktor yang singnifikan yaitu produksi (prod), luas panen (field), pendapatan (inc), konsumsi (cons) dan inflasi (inf). 3) Dari Analisis Impulse Response Function dapat di ketahui bahwa kestabilannya yaitu variabel produksi (Prod) mencapai kestabilan pada periode ke- 25 ,variabel luas penen (Field) mencapai kestabilan pada periode ke-28, variabel consumsi (Cons) mencapai kestabilan pada periode ke- 25, variabel pendapatan (Inc) mencapai kestabilan pada periode ke-20, variabel inflasi (Inf) mencapai kestabilan pada periode ke- 27.
Economic Factors Affecting Rice Price Fluctuation in North Sumatera Mariana Eva Yanti; Octasella Ainani As’ad; Faiz Ahmad Sibuea
Budapest International Research and Critics Institute (BIRCI-Journal): Humanities and Social Sciences Vol 4, No 2 (2021): Budapest International Research and Critics Institute May
Publisher : Budapest International Research and Critics University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.33258/birci.v4i2.1925

Abstract

The research approach method is a qualitative approach. The method of data collection is secondary data, secondary data needed is obtained from relevant agencies, namely from the Central Bureau of Statistics and the Department of Agriculture as well as other literature related to research. The analytical method used is descriptive analysis and analysis of Vector Auto Regression (VAR). The results showed that: 1) The dominant factors affecting rice prices in North Sumatra are 2, the first is 60% production because the higher the production of rice, the price of rice will decline and the lower the production, the price of rice will increase and the second factor is 38% inflation because if the price of rice continues to increase there will be inflation, but it is different from the fact that rice prices fluctuate due to the stability of rice prices. 2) Factors that affect rice prices in North Sumatra in the short term are significant, namely inflation and in the long term there are five significant factors, namely production (prod), harvest area (field), income (inc), consumption (cons) ) and inflation (inf). 3) From Impulse Response Function Analysis, it can be seen that the factors that influence rice prices in North Sumatra can be seen as stability, namely the production variable (Prod) reaches stability in the 25th period, the penen variable (Field) reaches stability in the period 28, the consumption variable (Cons) reaches stability in the 25th period, the income (Inc) variable reaches stability in the 20th period, the inflation variable reaches stability in the 27th period. namely inflation and in the long term there are five significant factors, namely production (prod), harvest area (field), income (inc), consumption (cons) and inflation (inf).
FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI FLUKTUASI HARGA GABAH KERING PANEN DI SUMATERA UTARA Mariana Eva Yanti; Octasella Ainani As’ad; Nurhadida Nasution; Supriadi Surbakti
Agros Journal of Agriculture Science Vol 25, No 3 (2023): edisi Juli
Publisher : Fakultas Pertanian, Universitas Janabadra

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Abstract

  This study aims to determine the effect of HPP GKP on lowland rice production and rice prices in North Sumatra in 1990-2020. Data obtained from secondary data from the Central Statistics agency and related agencies. The  analysis by Vector Auto Regression. The results of the study show: (1) The price of dry harvested unhusked rice (GKP) fluctuates every year; (2) The effect of HPP GKP on lowland rice production in North Sumatra from the VECM results has a significant effect in the short term, there is only one significant effect at the 5% confidence interval; (3) The effect of HPP GKP on rice prices in North Sumatra from the VECM results is significant.INTISARIPenelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui pengaruh HPP GKP terhadap produksi padi sawah dan harga beras di Sumatera Utara pada tahun 1990-2020. Data yang diperoleh dari Data sekunder dari Badan Pusat Statistik dan Instansi yang terkait. Analisis yang di gunakan oleh Vector Auto Regresion. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan: (1) Perkembangan Harga Gabah Kering Panen (GKP) setiap tahunnya mengalami fluktuasi; (2) Pengaruh HPP GKP terhadap produksi padi sawah di Sumatera Utara dari hasil VECM terjadi berpengaruh nyata pada jangka pendek, hanya terdapat satu yang signifikan pada selang kepercayaan5%; (3) Pengaruh HPP GKP terhadap harga beras di Sumatera Utara dari hasil VECM adalah berpengaruh nyata.
Co-Authors Faiz Ahmad Sibuea Muhammad Ilham Riyadh, Muhammad Ilham Nurhadida Nasution Octasella Ainani As’ad Supriadi Surbakti Surya Dharma