Muhammad Fajar Ulil Azmi
Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Islam IAIN Tulungagung

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Associative Study on Government Spending, Inflation, Trade Balance, and Gross Domestic Product Agus Eko Sujianto; Muhammad Fajar Ulil Azmi
Ekuilibrium : Jurnal Ilmiah Bidang Ilmu Ekonomi Vol 15, No 1 (2020): March
Publisher : Universitas Muhammadiyah Ponorogo

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (334.235 KB) | DOI: 10.24269/ekuilibrium.v15i1.2363

Abstract

Specifically, this study aims to examine the effect of macroeconomic indicators namely government spending, inflation and trade balance on PDB. The observation period from 1981-2017 is based on International Monetary Fund (IMF) documentation. Data analysis using the Error Correction Model (ECM). The results of the study: (1) in the short term and long term government spending significantly influence PDB; (2) in the short-run and long-run inflation affects PDB in the opposite way; (3) in the short term PDB is not affected by the trade balance, whereas in the long run the trade balance variable also has no effect on PDB with a negative slope and (4) the results of simultaneous tests of government expenditure, inflation, and the trade balance affect PDB.