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All Journal Journal of Fundamental Mathematics and Applications (JFMA)
Sutimin Sutimin
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Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management

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LOGISTIC MODEL DEVELOPMENT OF COVID-19 SPREAD WITH PHYSICAL DISTANCING INTERVENTION Okky Widya Arditya; Widowati Widowati; Sutimin Sutimin; R. Heru Tjahjana; Priyo Sidik Sasongko
Journal of Fundamental Mathematics and Applications (JFMA) Vol 4, No 1 (2021)
Publisher : Diponegoro University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (1664.587 KB) | DOI: 10.14710/jfma.v4i1.8385

Abstract

In early 2020, covid-19 spread fast in the worldwide and cause the high death. The disease started from the Asian region which resulted in a viral pandemic in 2020. In order to anticipate the increasing of the cases, a strategy is needed to inhibit its transmission. The mathematical model approach is important tool for predicting of covid-19 spread in populations. In this paper we propose and analyze the dynamical behaviour of a developed logistic model by considering the effect of the contact patterns in reducing the covid-19 spread process. To verify the developed logistic model, numerical simulation was given with case study of covid-19 spread for patients under supervision in Central Java Province, Indonesia. Based on simulation results, it was found that physical distancing can reduce the growth of the covid-19 spread for patient under supervision. It can be seen from the number of covid-19 spread for patients under supervision with physical distancing intervention smaller compared to without physical distancing intervention.
Co-Authors Okky Widya Arditya Priyo Sidik Sasongko Redemtus Heru Tjahjana Widowati, Widowati