Claim Missing Document
Check
Articles

Found 2 Documents
Search

TEKNIK PERAMALAN MENGGUNAKAN METODE PEMULUSAN EKSPONENSIAL HOLT-WINTERS Siti Nur Hamidah; Nur Salam; Dewi Sri Susanti
EPSILON: JURNAL MATEMATIKA MURNI DAN TERAPAN Vol 7, No 2 (2013): JURNAL EPSILON VOLUME 7 NOMOR 2
Publisher : Mathematics Study Program, Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, Lambung Mangkurat

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (251.799 KB) | DOI: 10.20527/epsilon.v7i2.97

Abstract

Time series forecasting is a method used to determine what might happen in the future based on information obtained in the past. One method used in time series forecasting is a Holt-Winters exponential smoothing method. This method can be used for time series data with trend and seasonality components. This method is based on three smoothing equations: overall smoothing, trend, and seasonal components. Holt-Winters exponential smoothing method consists of multiplicative and additive seasonality models. The method of this research is literature study by collecting and studying references that are relevant to the idea of this research, and then applying the Holt-Winters exponential smoothing method into data. The results of this research show that the multiplicative seasonality model of Holt-Winters exponential smoothing method can be used if data represent an increase in long-term and seasonal fluctuations which is the increasingly bigger with the increasing of observation time periods. These patterns identify the non-stationary of mean and variance. While, the additive seasonality model can be used if data show an increase in long-term and seasonal fluctuations that are relatively constant with the increasing of observation time. Time series forecasting is a method used to determine what might happen in the future based on information obtained in the past. One method used in time series forecasting is a Holt-Winters exponential smoothing method. This method can be used for time series data with trend and seasonality components. This method is based on three smoothing equations: overall smoothing, trend, and seasonal components. Holt-Winters exponential smoothing method consists of multiplicative and additive seasonality models. The method of this research is literature study by collecting and studying references that are relevant to the idea of this research, and then applying the Holt-Winters exponential smoothing method into data. The results of this research show that the multiplicative seasonality model of Holt-Winters exponential smoothing method can be used if data represent an increase in long-term and seasonal fluctuations which is the increasingly bigger with the increasing of observation time periods. These patterns identify the non-stationary of mean and variance. While, the additive seasonality model can be used if data show an increase in long-term and seasonal fluctuations that are relatively constant with the increasing of observation time
Pengaruh Penggunaan Smartphone terhadap Prestasi Belajar Siswa MI Al-Falah Sambirobyong Nganjuk Agus Miftakus Surur; Alifia Putri Lestari; Jihan Rona Nabilah; Siti Nur Hamidah; M. Khoiril Akhyar; M. Ubaidillah Ridwanulloh; Hasnah Binti Mohamed
Journal Education And Islamic Studies Vol 1 No 2 (2023): Journal Education And Islamic Studies
Publisher : Institut Agama Islam Sumatera Barat

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.55062//JEDIES.2023.v1i1.165/5

Abstract

Sebuah teknologi pada hakikatnya diciptakan untuk membuat hidup manusia menjadi semakin mudah dan nyaman. Hampir tidak ada bidang kehidupan manusia yang bebas dari penggunaannya, baik secara langsung maupun tidak langsung. Hal ini juga merupakan akibat dari perkembangan teknologi yang sangat pesat. Teknologi diciptakan untuk mempermudah setiap kegiatan manusia. Lahir dari pemikiran manusia yang berusaha untuk mempermudah kegiatan-kegiatannya yang kemudian diterapkan dalam kehidupan sehari-hari, salah satunya dalam proses belajar mengajar di sekolah. Dengan demikian dalam proses pembelajaran, teknologi dapat dipakai sebagai sumber belajar. Dewasa ini, produk teknologi sudah menjadi kebutuhan sehari-hari dalam menjalankan aktivitas kehidupan. Penggunaan handphone dan interenet sudah bukan menjadi hal yang aneh ataupun baru lagi. Handphone merupakan sebuah perangkat telekomunikasi elektronik yang mempunyasi kemampuan dasar secara konvensional yang mudah dibawa dan tidak perlu disambungkan dengan jaringan telepon yang menggunakan kabel. Handphone memiliki fungsi untuk menerima telepon atau sms (pesan singkat), handphone juga bisa berfungsi sebagai alat memtret, merekan segala aktivitas, sebagai sarana informasi bahkan bisa digunakan untuk menjelajahi dunia internet tergantung feature handphone tersebut.