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All Journal Indonesian Journal of Fundamental Sciences
Zulhijrah Zulhijrah
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Chemical Engineering, Chemistry & Bioengineering Computer Science & IT Electrical & Electronics Engineering Energy Engineering Environmental Science Immunology & microbiology Materials Science & Nanotechnology Mechanical Engineering Medicine & Pharmacology Physics

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Journal : Indonesian Journal of Fundamental Sciences

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Temporal Analysis of the Influence of the Number of Vaccinations on the Number of Covid-19 Cases in South Sulawesi Province Using ARIMAX Model Aswi Aswi; Muhammad Arif Tiro; Sudarmin Sudarmin; Ruliana Ruliana; Andi Gagah Palarungi Taufik; Zulhijrah Zulhijrah
Indonesian Journal of Fundamental Sciences Vol 8, No 2 (2022)
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Makassar

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (365.515 KB) | DOI: 10.26858/ijfs.v8i2.40561

Abstract

South Sulawesi is a province that has the highest number of Covid-19 cases in the Sulawesi island region. Vaccination is one way that is considered effective in controlling the infection of a disease. Covid-19 vaccination in Indonesia was carried out in January 2021. This study aims to obtain the best Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average X (ARIMAX) model in modeling the effect of the number of vaccinations on the number of Covid-19 cases in South Sulawesi Province. Data on the number of vaccinations and Covid-19 cases in South Sulawesi Province (October 1, 2021 - January 31, 2022) were used. The best ARIMAX model in modeling Covid-19 in relation to the number of vaccinations is ARIMAX (2,1,0). The results showed that the number of vaccinations had a negative effect on the number of Covid-19 cases at the significant level of 10%. This indicates that if the number of vaccinations increases then the number of Covid-19 cases will decrease.
Co-Authors Andi Gagah Palarungi Taufik Aswi Aswi Aswi, Aswi Muhammad Arif Tiro Ruliana Ruliana Sudarmin Sudarmin