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Cointegration and Causality Test Among Export, Import, and Foreign Exchange Subiyakto, Haryono; Algifari, Algifari
JEJAK: Jurnal Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Vol 9, No 1 (2016): March 2016
Publisher : Semarang State University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15294/jejak.v9i1.6656

Abstract

The rupiah exchange rate, import, and export are the important indicators in economy, including the Indonesia economy. The debate regarding the relationship among the exchange rate, import, and export has been persisting for several decades. Some researchers found that there is a relationship among those three and others explained that there is no correlation among them. The aim of this research is to obtain the empirical evidence of the causal relationship among the export, import, and foreign exchange rate by using the monthly data from January 2010 to April 2014. The export and import data are the export and import values in US dollar. The exchange rate data is the median exchange rates of the Indonesian Bank. The Johansen Cointegration Test and the Granger Causality Test are used to analyze the data. The research result shows that export and import have no causal relationship at five percent. Next, the foreign exchange rate influences the export and import at 10 percent level. The result indicates that the foreign exchange rate has small effects on the export and import. Based on the results, the government should control the balance of trade and should not make any policy that is based on the exchange rate values. Finally, it can be said that the exchange rate policy is not effective in increasing the exports and reducing the imports.
Cointegration and Causality Test Among Export, Import, and Foreign Exchange Subiyakto, Haryono; Algifari, Algifari
JEJAK: Jurnal Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Vol 9, No 1 (2016): March 2016
Publisher : Semarang State University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15294/jejak.v9i1.7188

Abstract

The rupiah exchange rate, import, and export are the important indicators in economy, including the Indonesia economy. The debate regarding the relationship among the exchange rate, import, and export has been persisting for several decades. Some researchers found that there is a relationship among those three and others explained that there is no correlation among them. The aim of this research is to obtain the empirical evidence of the causal relationship among the export, import, and foreign exchange rate by using the monthly data from January 2010 to April 2014. The export and import data are the export and import values in US dollar. The exchange rate data is the median exchange rates of the Indonesian Bank. The Johansen Cointegration Test and the Granger Causality Test are used to analyze the data. The research result shows that export and import have no causal relationship at five percent. Next, the foreign exchange rate influences the export and import at 10 percent level. The result indicates that the foreign exchange rate has small effects on the export and import. Based on the results, the government should control the balance of trade and should not make any policy that is based on the exchange rate values. Finally, it can be said that the exchange rate policy is not effective in increasing the exports and reducing the imports.
Cointegration and Causality Test Among Export, Import, and Foreign Exchange Subiyakto, Haryono; Algifari, Algifari
JEJAK: Jurnal Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Vol 9, No 1 (2016): March 2016
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Semarang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15294/jejak.v9i1.7188

Abstract

The rupiah exchange rate, import, and export are the important indicators in economy, including the Indonesia economy. The debate regarding the relationship among the exchange rate, import, and export has been persisting for several decades. Some researchers found that there is a relationship among those three and others explained that there is no correlation among them. The aim of this research is to obtain the empirical evidence of the causal relationship among the export, import, and foreign exchange rate by using the monthly data from January 2010 to April 2014. The export and import data are the export and import values in US dollar. The exchange rate data is the median exchange rates of the Indonesian Bank. The Johansen Cointegration Test and the Granger Causality Test are used to analyze the data. The research result shows that export and import have no causal relationship at five percent. Next, the foreign exchange rate influences the export and import at 10 percent level. The result indicates that the foreign exchange rate has small effects on the export and import. Based on the results, the government should control the balance of trade and should not make any policy that is based on the exchange rate values. Finally, it can be said that the exchange rate policy is not effective in increasing the exports and reducing the imports.
Analisis Pemanfaatan Dana Transfer untuk Kemandirian Pembiayaan Daerah di Indonesia Menggunakan Model Struktural Partial Least Square Algifari, Algifari; Nurkhin, Ahmad; Saputro, Iwan Hardi
Business and Accounting Education Journal Vol 2 No 1 (2021): Business and Accounting Education Journal
Publisher : Jurusan Pendidikan Ekonomi, Fakultas Ekonomi, Universitas Negeri Semarang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (269.572 KB) | DOI: 10.15294/baej.v2i1.46031

Abstract

The aims of this study is to examine the effect of General Allocation Funds (DAU) and Special Allocation Funds (DAK) on Original Local Government Revenues (PAD) in Indonesia using APBD data for 33 provinces in Indonesia for 2016-2018. The research hypothesis was tested using the Partial Leas Square structural equation model. The results showed that DAU had a negative effect on PAD, while DAK had a positive effect on PAD. Capital Expenditures (BM) were able to mediate DAU's effects on PAD. Based on the results of this study, the researchers recommend that the DAU received by the local government from the central government should be used to increase Capital Expenditures (BM) in order to increase PAD.
Analisis Pemanfaatan Dana Transfer untuk Kemandirian Pembiayaan Daerah di Indonesia Menggunakan Model Struktural Partial Least Square Algifari, Algifari; Nurkhin, Ahmad; Saputro, Iwan Hardi
Business and Accounting Education Journal Vol 2 No 1 (2021): Business and Accounting Education Journal
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Semarang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15294/baej.v2i1.46031

Abstract

The aims of this study is to examine the effect of General Allocation Funds (DAU) and Special Allocation Funds (DAK) on Original Local Government Revenues (PAD) in Indonesia using APBD data for 33 provinces in Indonesia for 2016-2018. The research hypothesis was tested using the Partial Leas Square structural equation model. The results showed that DAU had a negative effect on PAD, while DAK had a positive effect on PAD. Capital Expenditures (BM) were able to mediate DAU's effects on PAD. Based on the results of this study, the researchers recommend that the DAU received by the local government from the central government should be used to increase Capital Expenditures (BM) in order to increase PAD.