Alvina Tahta Indal Karim
Institut Teknologi Telkom Purwokerto

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Comparison of C4.5 and Naive Bayes Algorithm Methods in Prediction of Student Graduation on Time (Case Study: Information Systems Study Program) Disty Dikriani; Alvina Tahta Indal Karim
Indonesian Journal of Data Science, IoT, Machine Learning and Informatics Vol 3 No 1 (2023): February
Publisher : Research Group of Data Engineering, Faculty of Informatics

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.20895/dinda.v3i1.782

Abstract

In tertiary institutions, students become one of the important parameters in the evaluation of study program organizers. Prediction of student graduation is a special concern to know, early identification for students is needed as an important action. Information processing to predict student graduation is by implementing data mining. The implementation of data mining can be applied if a university, especially a study program, does not yet have an early classification in achieving student graduation on time. The ITTP Information System study program is one of the study programs that does not have an early identification of student graduation on time. Determination of graduation for SI ITTP Study Program students includes GPA, TOEFL scores, and total credits. The purpose of this research is to find out which attributes have the most influence in predicting graduation of ITTP IS Study Program students. The method used in this prediction is by using the classification of the C4.5 Algorithm and Naïve Bayes. The classification is used to determine which attributes have an effect on predicting student graduation on time and to compare the two classification methods. The results obtained are the training set size 70% which has the best accuracy when compared to other training set sizes. Comparing the accuracy between the two methods, it is known that the C4.5 algorithm has good accuracy when training set size is 70% and Naïve Bayes has higher accuracy when training set size is 75%. Decision tree C4.5 interprets that the most influential attribute is the GPA as the root of the decision tree to predict student graduation on time. The research is expected to be used as a reference for the ITTP IS Study Program in formulating student graduation policies on time and as a reference for further researchers in predicting in the same field.
Dominant Requirements for Student Graduation in the Faculty of Informatics using the C4.5 Algorithm Alvina Tahta Indal Karim; Sudianto Sudianto
Indonesian Journal of Data Science, IoT, Machine Learning and Informatics Vol 3 No 2 (2023): August
Publisher : Research Group of Data Engineering, Faculty of Informatics

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.20895/dinda.v3i2.1040

Abstract

Graduating on time is one of the indicators in the achievement and ranking of educational institutions. The achievement of graduating on time in educational institutions is essential to balance incoming and graduating students. The problem that occurs, the attributes for graduating on time have varying weightings, so the determinants of the attributes for passing on time need to be known so that the anticipation of achieving graduation on time can be met. The purpose of this study is to find out the dominant attributes in the prediction of graduating on time for students. The attributes used are credit scores (Semester Credit Units), GPA scores (Grade Point Average), and English scores (TOEFL). The method used is the C4.5 Algorithm which is one of the classification methods in data mining. The data used was 262 data, split randomly with a composition of training and testing data of 80:20. Data is processed using the data mining process by creating decision trees. The decision tree results using the C4.5 Algorithm show that the GPA value is the most influential attribute in predicting a student's graduation time. In addition, predictions based on the decision tree of the C4.5 Algorithm with criterion = 'gini' and max_depth = 5 showed an accuracy result of 77%.