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Dedy Rahmatullah
Faculty of Economics and Business, Gadjah Mada University
Arts Humanities Economics, Econometrics & Finance Social Sciences

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Exchange rate responses to macroeconomic announcement on the COVID-19 pandemic Dedy Rahmatullah; Diny Ghuzini
Jurnal Ekonomi dan Bisnis Vol. 26 No. 1 (2023)
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomika dan Bisnis Universitas Kristen Satya Wacana

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24914/jeb.v26i1.4868

Abstract

This study examines the effects of macroeconomic announcements on the USD/IDR exchange rate before and during the COVID-19 pandemic, and the difference between the impact of positive and negative announcements on the exchange rate. To measure the macroeconomic announcement, a surprise component is used, that is the difference between actual data and market forecasts. The data in this research are daily time series from 1 January 2014 to 30 November 2020. The actual data and market forecasts for each indicator are obtained from Bloomberg. To test the exchange rate response to the macroeconomic announcement, the Ordinary Least Square (OLS) analysis method is used with heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation consistent (HAC). This study finds that during the COVID-19 pandemic, the USD/IDR exchange rate is more sensitive to the surprise component of the macroeconomic announcement compared to the period before the COVID-19 pandemic. This research also finds evidence that positive Indonesian news and negative US news have a significant effect on changes in the USD/IDR exchange rate.
Co-Authors Diny Ghuzini