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Eka Suci Puspita Wulandari
Institut Informatika dan Bisnis Darmajaya, Indonesia

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Prediksi Kejadian Banjir Di Kota Bandar Lampung Menggunakan Jaringan Syaraf Tiruan Ramadhan Nurpambudi; Eka Suci Puspita Wulandari; RZ. Abdul Aziz
JURNAL INFOTEL Vol 15 No 1 (2023): February 2023
Publisher : LPPM INSTITUT TEKNOLOGI TELKOM PURWOKERTO

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.20895/infotel.v15i1.878

Abstract

The city of Bandar Lampung is currently experiencing seasonal flooding which occurs almost every year, resulting in significant losses. Floods recorded by BNPB in the last 10 years there were 16 incidents of flooding in the Bandar Lampung area. More than 14,000 people suffered, more than 500 people had to be evacuated, more than 900 houses were damaged, and 4 public facilities were damaged. To study the pattern of flood events in the past, the Artificial Neural Network Backpropagation learning method will be used which will utilize its non-linear variable learning abilities. The configuration settings for the Artificial Neural Network were carried out experimentally without any basis for assigning values, especially for the parameters of the number of hidden layers, number of neurons, and epochs used in training and variable testing. The results obtained from this study are the results of training and testing of datasets that have been carried out by ANN backpropagation are able to properly study patterns of flood events and also non-flood events in the dataset, this is evidenced by the results of high model configuration accuracy and also the results of predictive tables that able to describe actual conditions, setting the configuration model experimentally is able to produce an accuracy value of 90-100%, an average training correlation value of 0.96 and an average test correlation value of 0.89, and an average error value of 0.0089 out of 20 model configuration, and the flood prediction table are made based on the 1 best configuration with a training and testing accuracy rate of 100% with an error value of 0.00134, namely configuration model 20, the prediction table uses an average air temperature of 27˚C with 80% humidity. The prediction table is able to produce excellent flood potential results which are able to represent flood events as well as non-flood events based on the results of the dataset learning.
Model Prediksi Dengan Artificial Neural Network Untuk Kejadian Banjir Rob Di Wilayah Pesisir Kota Bandar Lampung Eka Suci Puspita Wulandari; Ramadhan Nurpambudi; RZ. Abdul Aziz
JURNAL INFOTEL Vol 15 No 2 (2023): May 2023
Publisher : LPPM INSTITUT TEKNOLOGI TELKOM PURWOKERTO

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.20895/infotel.v15i2.882

Abstract

The fastest sea level rise began in 2013 and reached its highest level in 2021. This is part of the ongoing global warming impact, where polar ice continues to melt, glaciers also continue to melt, causing sea level rise. In the Bandar Lampung City area, there are several areas that are threatened with tidal flooding, namely Karang City Village and Kangkung Village, Bumi Waras Village, and Sukaraja Village. Bandar Lampung itself is the city center in the coastal area. Where the majority of the population is in the Coastal area so that the threat of tidal flooding is caused by rising sea levels. To study the occurrence of tidal floods in the past, this research uses an Artificial Neural Network which has the ability to study non-linear data which is then carried out by training and testing until the best configuration model is obtained. Based on the analysis and discussion that has been carried out, several important points can be drawn, including the results of training and dataset testing that has been carried out. , 80:20, and 90;10. This is evidenced by the results of the high accuracy of the model configuration and also the results of the prediction table which is able to describe the actual conditions, setting the model configuration experimentally is able to produce the best training accuracy value reaching 100% while for the best testing accuracy is 88%. The average correlation value of training with the 50:50 dataset is 0.975, the 60:40 dataset is 0.975, the 70:30 dataset is 0.951, the 80:20 dataset is 0.935, and the 90:10 dataset is 0.929. For the average value of the correlation test with the 50:50 dataset of 0.514, the 60:40 dataset is 0.362, the 70:30 dataset is 0.488, the 80:20 dataset is 0.284, and the 90:10 dataset is 0.402. Whereas the average error value for the 50:50 dataset is 0.006, the 60:40 dataset is 0.006, the 70:30 dataset is 0.010, the 80:20 dataset is 0.007, and the 90:10 dataset is 0.007, the flood prediction table is made based on 1 configuration the best with a training accuracy rate of 98% and a testing accuracy of 80% with an error value of 0.004, namely configuration model 14, this model is the best configuration model out of 3 dataset divisions out of a total of 5. The prediction table uses sea level tides of 1.5 meters. The prediction table is able to provide good tidal flood percentage values, especially when there are active astronomical phenomena. The results of this good flood prediction table illustrate that the backpropagation ANN is able to study datasets well and can be used by BMKG forecasters in making tidal flood early warnings.