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Santo Christyadi
Laboratorium Statistika Ekonomi dan Bisnis FMIPA Universitas Mulawarman
Computer Science & IT Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance Mathematics Other

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Pemodelan Indeks Pembangunan Manusia (IPM) Menggunakan Analisis Regresi Probit Santo Christyadi; Andi M Ade Satriya; Rito Goejantoro
EKSPONENSIAL Vol 11 No 2 (2020)
Publisher : Program Studi Statistika FMIPA Universitas Mulawarman

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Abstract

Ordinal probit regression analysis is non-linear regression analysis that used to find affected independent variables for ordered categorical dependent variable and regression model in this analysis used Normal cumulative distribution function. Parameter estimation in this model used Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) method. This model has been applied to Human Development Index (HDI) in Borneo Island in 2017 case study. HDI is the most important measurement in improving the human development quality in all cities/regencies in Indonesia. Some factors that affected to IPM, they are Life Expectancy (X1), School Expectancy (X2), Spending per Capita (X3), Average School Duration (X4), and Labour Force Participation Rate (X5). Based on research that was performed by researcher, resulted two factors affecting to HDI, those are Life Expetancy and Average School Duration. This model has classification accuracy of 89,29%, APER (Apparent Error Rate) value of 10,71%, and AIC (Akaike Information Criterion) value of 39,75; this model was very good because prediction value is almost approaching to observation value (actual value).
Co-Authors Andi M Ade Satriya Rito Goejantoro