Ernoiz Antriyandarti
Agribusiness, Faculty of Agriculture, Universitas Sebelas Maret, Surakarta, Central Java, Indonesia

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CAUSALITY ANALYSIS OF RICE PRICES WITH INFLATION RATE IN INDONESIA Anggityas Werdining Pangesti; Darsono Darsono; Ernoiz Antriyandarti
Agrisocionomics: Jurnal Sosial Ekonomi Pertanian Vol 7, No 3 (2023): November 2023
Publisher : Faculty of Animal and Agricultural Science, Diponegoro University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.14710/agrisocionomics.v7i3.16460

Abstract

Indonesia is one of the countries with the largest rice consumption in the world. The strategic value of rice places it as a commodity contributing to inflation. This study aims to investigate the causal relationship between rice prices and the inflation rate in Indonesia and to analyze the role of rice prices in the inflation rate in Indonesia. The rice price and inflation rate data used are secondary data with monthly periods obtained from the Indonesian Central Bureau of Statistics, Bulog (The National Logistics Agency), Ministry of Agriculture, Ministry of Trade, FAO and United States Department of Agriculture, and the United States Census Bureau. The analysis was carried out using Granger Causality and Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) utilized by the E-Views application. The Granger Causality test results show a causality relationship between rice prices and the inflation rate in Indonesia with a bi-directional causality pattern. We also found a long-run relationship. Impulse Response Function shows that shock in the rice prices will affect inflation throughout the sixth month until it converges and is stable. In line with the results of the Impulse Response Function, analysis of Variance Decomposition shows that changes in rice prices play a role in explaining the difference in the inflation rate of 2,77%.
THE ROLE OF URBAN FARMING TO HOUSEHOLD FOOD SECURITY IN THE SURAKARTA CITY, INDONESIA Umi Barokah; Wiwit Rahayu; Ernoiz Antriyandarti
Agrisocionomics: Jurnal Sosial Ekonomi Pertanian Vol 7, No 3 (2023): November 2023
Publisher : Faculty of Animal and Agricultural Science, Diponegoro University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.14710/agrisocionomics.v7i3.15942

Abstract

Urban areas are densely populated areas, so that land for agricultural production is minimal. The city of Surakarta is the center of the economy in the Soloraya region, whose agricultural land area continues to decrease. The study aimed to analyze household food security and the role of urban farming on household food security. The data used in the research was primary data collected by interview, recording, observation, and food recall methods. Respondent to the research consists of 60 households that carried out urban farming in 5 districts (Pasar Kliwon, Jebres, Banjarsari, Laweyan, Serengan) in Surakarta. The analytical data used food security analysis with indicators of food expenditure and energy consumption levels and descriptive analysis for urban farming to household food security. The results showed that as many as 21 or (35.00%) were categorized as food secure households, 12 or (20.00%) were classified as food vulnerable households, 22 or (36.67%) were categorized as lack of food households, and 5 (8, 33%) was categorized as food insecure. The role of urban farming on household food security is indicated by its contribution to food expenditure of Rp 87,336.00 or 7.69% to total food expenditure per month. It is necessary to increase the role of urban farming in household food security both in increasing income and providing food for households. This can be done, among other things, by intensifying and diversifying urban farming businesses.