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Fitriah, Ma’idatul
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Computer Science & IT Control & Systems Engineering Electrical & Electronics Engineering

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Journal : JURNAL MEDIA INFORMATIKA BUDIDARMA

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Peramalan Jumlah Kedatangan Wisatawan Menggunakan Support Vector Regression Berbasis Sliding Window Fitriah, Ma’idatul; Permana, Inggih; Salisah, Febi Nur; Munzir, Medyantiwi Rahmawita; Megawati, Megawati
JURNAL MEDIA INFORMATIKA BUDIDARMA Vol 8, No 3 (2024): Juli 2024
Publisher : Universitas Budi Darma

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.30865/mib.v8i3.7408

Abstract

As a developing city, Pekanbaru has the potential for attractive tourist attractions for tourists. The arrival of tourists has had a big positive impact on the economy of Pekanbaru City. The number of tourist arrivals can experience ups and downs every month, for this reason it is necessary to forecast the number of tourists in the future. This research aims to apply the Orange Data Mining application in predicting the number of tourist arrivals by comparing the kernels in the Support Vector Regression (SVR) method and applying Sliding Window size 3 to window size 13 to transform into time series data. As well as sharing data using the K-Fold Validation method with a value of K-10. Then the performance of the kernels used can be seen using the Test and Score widget which presents the results of Root Mean Absolute Error (MAE), Mean Square Error (MSE), Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), dan R-squared(R2). The results for forecasting the number of tourist arrivals to Pekanbaru City using the SVR method show that the RBF Kernel is the optimal choice compared to the Polinomial and Linear Kernels. The results of the Test and Score widget show that the RBF Kernel with window size 10 has lower MAE, MSE and RMSE values, namely 0.118, 0.022 and 0.147. Apart from that, the comparison of R2 in window size 10 for Kernel RBF shows better performance with a value of 0.519.
Co-Authors Febi Nur Salisah, Febi Nur Inggih Permana Megawati - Munzir, Medyantiwi Rahmawita