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All Journal CAUCHY: Jurnal Matematika Murni dan Aplikasi Kesmas: Jurnal Kesehatan Masyarakat Nasional Jurnal Pengukuran Psikologi dan Pendidikan Indonesia (JP3I) Desimal: Jurnal Matematika M A T H L I N E : Jurnal Matematika dan Pendidikan Matematika Jurnal Absis : Jurnal Pendidikan Matematika dan Matematika InPrime: Indonesian Journal Of Pure And Applied Mathematics Majalah Ilmiah Matematika dan Statistika (MIMS) Jurnal Lebesgue : Jurnal Ilmiah Pendidikan Matematika, Matematika dan Statistika PROCEEDINGS OF THE INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON DATA SCIENCE AND OFFICIAL STATISTICS
Wijaya, Madona Yunita
Department Of Mathematics, Faculty Of Science And Technology, Universitas Islam Negeri Syarif Hidayatullah Jakarta, South Tangerang, Indonesia
Computer Science & IT Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Education Mathematics Public Health Social Sciences

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Journal : Kesmas: Jurnal Kesehatan Masyarakat Nasional

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The Estimation of Excess Mortality during the COVID-19 Pandemic in Jakarta, Indonesia Madona Yunita Wijaya
Jurnal Kesehatan Masyarakat Nasional Vol 17, No 1 (2022): Volume 17, Issue 1, February 2022
Publisher : Faculty of Public Health Universitas Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (18.988 KB) | DOI: 10.21109/kesmas.v17i1.5413

Abstract

Indonesia is among the countries affected by the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, and DKI Jakarta Province recorded the highest number of deaths. This study aimed to analyze the excess mortality across five administrative cities in Jakarta stratified by gender to assess the pandemic impact on mortality. The monthly mortality data from January 2018 to December 2020 was obtained through government sources. This data helped to measure excess mortality by estimating the baseline mortality had the COVID-19 pandemic not occurred. The analysis used a linear mixed model because of its ease and flexibility in forecasting subject-specific mortality. The results showed 13,507 or 35% excess deaths in Jakarta [95% CI: 11,636 to 15,236] between June and December 2020. The excess numbers were found relatively higher among men than women. Furthermore, Jakarta has underreported the COVID-19 deaths at least seven times higher than the reported number of confirmed deaths.
Co-Authors Afnenda Rachmalia Hidayat Aisyah Muhayani Devi Ila Octaviyani Hasanah, Sri Indriati Inna, Suma Iqbal Rachadi Irene, Yanne Irma Fauziah Jasmin Nur Hanifa Khasanah, Dwi Windari Nur Kurnia, Hafsah Laili Nahlul Farih Mahmudi Mahmudi Maysun Maysun Mega Maulina Nina Fitriyati Nina Fitriyati Nina Fitriyati Rizky Azriel Fahrezi Suma’inna Suma’inna Yanne Irene