Jurnal Teknologi Informasi, Komputer, dan Aplikasinya (JTIKA )
Vol 1 No 2 (2019): September 2019

Penerapan Algoritma Jaringan Saraf Tiruan Metode Backpropagation untuk Memprediksi Jumlah Nilai Ekspor di Provinsi NTB

Biondi Bagasta Wiko Putra (Universitas Mataram)
Moh. Ali Albar (Universitas Mataram)
Budi Irmawati (Universitas Mataram)



Article Info

Publish Date
30 Sep 2019

Abstract

This paper presents the application of the Backpropagation method of the Artificial Neural Network algorithm in the case study to forecasting the amount of export value in NTB province. This forecasting process uses two scenarios, namely forecasting the amount of export value in NTB province and forecasting the amount of export value based on a commodity which then the forecasting results based on these two scenarios will be compared. Based on the results of the system testing that has been done, the best network architecture is obtained from 12-4-1, the best value of learning rate is 0.2 and the best number of epochs is 6000, which in the training device produces these variables resulting in an MSE value is 0,0034 and MAPE value is 8.52% and for the testing result MSE value is 0.0169 and MAPE value is 17.94%. Based on the results of forecasting with two scenarios that have been carried out are forecasting results that are negative. This is because the pattern of data used is not stable so that it can produce negative values.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

JTIKA

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Engineering

Description

Jurnal Teknologi Informasi, Komputer dan Aplikasinya disingkat dengan JTIKA diterbitkan oleh Program Studi Teknik Informatika Fakultas Teknik Universitas Mataram sebagai wadah publikasi hasil penelitian original dalam di bidang teknologi informasi, ilmu komputer dan aplikasinya. JTIKA adalah open ...