Kinetik: Game Technology, Information System, Computer Network, Computing, Electronics, and Control
Vol. 5, No. 1, February 2020

Optimization Fuzzy Inference System based Particle Swarm Optimization for Onset Prediction of the Rainy Season

Noviandi, Noviandi (Unknown)
Ilham, Ahmad (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
12 Feb 2020

Abstract

Rainfall which is occurred in an area explain the Onset Rainy Season (ORS). ORS is a characteristic of the rainy season which is important to know, but the characteristics of the rain itself is very difficult to predict. We use the method of Fuzzy Inference System (FIS) to predict ORS. Unfortunately, FIS is weak to determine parameters so that influences the working FIS method. In this study, we use PSO to optimize parameter of the FIS method to increase perform of the FIS method for onset prediction of the rainy season with the predictor Sea Surface Temperature Nino 3.4 and Index Ocean Dipole. We used coefficient correlation to determine the relationship between two variables as predictors and RMSE as evaluate to all methods. The experiment result has shown that the work of FIS-PSO after optimizing produced the good work with the coefficient correlation = 0.57 and RMSE = 2.96 that is the smallest value that is better performance if compared with other methods. It can be concluded that the method proposed can increase the onset prediction of the rainy season.

Copyrights © 2020






Journal Info

Abbrev

kinetik

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT Control & Systems Engineering Electrical & Electronics Engineering Energy Engineering

Description

Kinetik: Game Technology, Information System, Computer Network, Computing, Electronics, and Control was published by Universitas Muhammadiyah Malang. journal is open access journal in the field of Informatics and Electrical Engineering. This journal is available for researchers who want to improve ...