Muqtasid: Jurnal Ekonomi dan Perbankan Syariah
Vol 11, No 1 (2020): MUQTASID: Jurnal Ekonomi dan Perbankan Syariah

Predicting Volatility of Non-Performing Financing: Lessons from Indonesian Islamic Banking Industry

Faizul Mubarok (Universitas Islam Negeri Syarif Hidayatullah Jakarta)
Abdul Hamid (Universitas Islam Negeri Syarif Hidayatullah Jakarta)
Mohammad Nur Rianto Al Arif (Universitas Islam Negeri Syarif Hidayatullah Jakarta)



Article Info

Publish Date
18 Jun 2020

Abstract

Islamic banking financing is carried out into three categories, namely financing based on economic sectors, financing based on contracts, and financing based on types of use. The funding is faced with risks where the customer is unable to pay the loan. This study discusses the forecasting of Islamic banking problem financing in Indonesia using monthly data from 2003 to 2019. Prediction is made using the Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity-Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (ARCH-GARCH) method. Forecasting from the results of this study shows that non-performing financing tends to decrease in Indonesia. Islamic banking has been able to manage problem financing well. Islamic banking financing should be focused on sectors that have low risk. The results of this study are undoubtedly useful for stakeholders to make policies to improve the quality of the funding.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

muqtasid

Publisher

Subject

Economics, Econometrics & Finance

Description

Muqtasid: Jurnal Ekonomi dan Perbankan Syariah (Muqtasid), with registered number ISSN 2087-7013 (Print) and ISSN 2527-8304 (Online), is a peer-reviewed journal published two times a year (January-June, and July-December) by Faculty of Islamic Economics and Business, IAIN Salatiga. Muqtasid is ...