AGRITEPA: Jurnal Ilmu dan Teknologi Pertanian
Vol 7 No 1 (2020)

PENDUGAAN MODEL PERAMALAN HARGA EKSPOR KOPI INDONESIA

FAUZI EMLAN (Unknown)
Wawan Eka Putra (Balai Pengkajian Teknologi Pertanian Bengkulu)
Andi Ishak (Balai Pengkajian Teknologi Pertanian Bengkulu)
Herlena Bidi Astuti (Unknown)

Article Info

Publish Date
30 May 2020

Abstract

ABSTRACT This study aims to examine the best forecasting model for the export price of Indonesian coffee. The data used in this study are monthly data on coffee prices from January 2012 to September 2019. Three price forecasting models used are moving average, single exponential smoothing and trend analysis are applied to determine the best model based on the lowest MAPE, MAD, and MSE values. The results showed the best model for forecasting the export price of coffee is the moving average (MA1) model because it has the smallest MAPE, MAD and MSE values ​​compared to other models. Keywords: Price, Coffee, Forecasting, Export

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Journal Info
AGRITEPA: Jurnal Ilmu dan Teknologi Pertanian
Website

Abbrev

agritepa

Publisher

Universitas Dehasen Bengkulu

Subject

Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Environmental Science Industrial & Manufacturing Engineering Materials Science & Nanotechnology

Description

Jurnal AGRITEPA scientific periodical publication on Agricultural Food Technology, Agribusiness, Agricultural Socio Economics and Business. Jurnal AGRITEPA is a scientific communication media which is issued by Agribusiness Study Program and Agricultural Food Technology Study Program, Faculty of ...