Economic Journal of Emerging Markets
Volume 12 Issue 3, 2007

Kausalitas antara Penerimaan, Belanja, dan PDRB pada Kota dan Kabupaten di Indonesia

Haryo Kuncoro (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
07 May 2009

Abstract

Causality is an important concept in applied econometrics. It helps us to identify the direction which variable is a cause (policy) and which one is an impact. This paper applied the technique of Granger causality to determine the causal relationship between total government expenditures, total tax revenues, and regional income in the case of regencies’/ rmunicipalities’ local government in Indonesia over the period of 1988-2003.Unlike other researchers, this study breaks down the total local government expenditures into operating and capital expenditures. Similarly, the total local government revenues are specified further into local own revenues and intergovernmental transfers (tax & non tax revenue sharing and grant). Using annual panel data, the analysis discovers a firm bidirectional effect from expenditure to revenue. Meanwhile, we found a unidirectional between regional income and grant. It suggests that the preference of controlling either the spending or revenue decisions is conducted both central and local governments to synchronize fiscal performance. Policy implication that could be drawn is that local governments may increase regional economic performance without depending on grants from central government.Keywords: local government, revenue, expenditure and causality

Copyrights © 2007






Journal Info

Abbrev

JEP

Publisher

Subject

Economics, Econometrics & Finance

Description

The Economic Journal of Emerging Markets (EJEM) is a peer-reviewed journal which provides a forum for scientific works pertaining to emerging market economies. Published every April and October, this journal welcomes original research papers on all aspects of economic development issues. The journal ...