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Kausalitas antara Penerimaan, Belanja, dan PDRB pada Kota dan Kabupaten di Indonesia Haryo Kuncoro
Economic Journal of Emerging Markets Volume 12 Issue 3, 2007
Publisher : Universitas Islam Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.20885/ejem.v12i3.376

Causality is an important concept in applied econometrics. It helps us to identify the direction which variable is a cause (policy) and which one is an impact. This paper applied the technique of Granger causality to determine the causal relationship between total government expenditures, total tax revenues, and regional income in the case of regencies’/ rmunicipalities’ local government in Indonesia over the period of 1988-2003.Unlike other researchers, this study breaks down the total local government expenditures into operating and capital expenditures. Similarly, the total local government revenues are specified further into local own revenues and intergovernmental transfers (tax & non tax revenue sharing and grant). Using annual panel data, the analysis discovers a firm bidirectional effect from expenditure to revenue. Meanwhile, we found a unidirectional between regional income and grant. It suggests that the preference of controlling either the spending or revenue decisions is conducted both central and local governments to synchronize fiscal performance. Policy implication that could be drawn is that local governments may increase regional economic performance without depending on grants from central government.Keywords: local government, revenue, expenditure and causality

Pengaruh Transfer antar Pemerintah pada Kinerja Fiskal Pemerintah Daerah Kota dan Kabupaten di Indonesia Haryo Kuncoro
Economic Journal of Emerging Markets Vol. 9 No. 1 (2004)
Publisher : Universitas Islam Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.20885/ejem.v9i1.624

The main problem of this research was to analyze the local government response to the intergovernmental transfers. The main objective of this research was to get a deeper analytical results about the contribution of the intergovernmental transfers on the local own revenue, routine and development expenditures in the case of district and municipality gov¬ernments in Indonesia over the period of 1988-2002.Using the simultaneous equation system, we concluded that the intergovernmental transfers stimulate the increase of the local government expenditures larger than that of the local own revenue. It seems that the dependency of local government onto the intergovern¬mental transfers will be worse. The local governments in the long run tend to use the exter¬nal borrowing to finance the increase of their expenditures. Those results above suggest that (1) the distribution of intergovernmental transfers among regions should consider the local tax effort, and (2) services minimum standard plays an important role to realize the expen¬ditures efficiency.Keywords: Intergovernmental transfer, fiscal performance, simultaneous equation.

Upah Sistem Bagi Hasil Dan Penyerapan Tenaga Kerja Haryo Kuncoro
Economic Journal of Emerging Markets Vol. 7 No. 1 (2002)
Publisher : Universitas Islam Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.20885/%ejem.v7i1.658rt

Reducing unemployment and then creating productive employment are two of the greatest obstacles in most developing countries. Achieving the two programs, however, faces a dilemma. In one hand, creating employment widely leads to decline labor’s compensation. On the other hand, increasing labor’s compensations imply that employers would alter their production techniques into capital intensives (i.e. lay off their workers). This paper tests the hypothesis that workers whose compensation packages contain a profit sharing component are less susceptible to lay off in the face of negative shocks to product demand than are workers paid a fixed, time-based wage. The theory is tested on macroeconomic data, especially in the two selected manufacturing industries in Indonesia. The estimation result shows that profit-sharing meet the theoretical requirements for stabilizing employment. It means that profit sharing could be considered as a means to combat unemployment.

THE VOLATILITY OF WORLD CRUDE OIL PRICES Haryo Kuncoro
Economic Journal of Emerging Markets Volume 3 Issue 1, 2011
Publisher : Universitas Islam Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.20885/ejem.v3i1.pp%p

The role of oil in an economy is very crucial. This article measures the world oil price uncer-tainty based on conditional standard deviations. It focuses on the volatility of crude oil price in United Kingdom, Texas, and Dubai markets, from January, 1980 to May, 2010. It finds the evidence that asymmetric leverage effects are not found. It also finds that volatility process in returns to its mean only evidenced in Dubai. These findings have some important implications for Indonesia. The government might use the dynamic of oil price in Dubai market as a benchmark to set up its state budget to realize fiscal sustainability.Keywords: Oil price, volatility, asymmetric leverage, fiscal sustainabilityJEL classification numbers: C22, Q43

Ekxpansi pengeluaran pemerintah dan responsivitas sektor swasta Haryo Kuncoro
Economic Journal of Emerging Markets Vol 5, No 1 (2000)
Publisher : Universitas Islam Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.20885/ejem.v5i1.6900

Any government plays an important role in an economy. The role us presented by both its revenue and expenditure. The net difference of the revenue and expenditure, therefore, determines the type of the revenue and expenditure, therefore, determines the type of fiscal policy implementation.

NETRALITAS PERUBAHAN TEKNOLOGI PADA SEKTOR INDUSTRI PENGOLAHAN DI INDONESIA Haryo Kuncoro; Bambang Kustituanto
Journal of Indonesian Economy and Business (JIEB) Vol 10, No 1 (1995): September
Publisher : Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Gadjah Mada

Berbagai studi tentang fungsi produksi pada sektor industri pengolahanIndonesia telah banyafc dilakukan. Pada umumnya peneliti melihat sisi dominasiinput sebagai dasar untuk menyimpulkan teknologi produksi dan sistem distribusipendapatan. Berkaitan dengan hal yang disebut pertama, metode ini mengandungkelemahan. Satu yang menonjol adalah bahwa perubahan teknologi dianggap sudah"terbenam" (embodied technological change) dalam "diri" faktor produksi. Makalah ini mencoba memberikan spesifikasi khusus untuk meliput perubahan teknologi dengan tetap mendasarkan pada fungsi produksi yang konvensional. Selanjutnya akan diamati dampak perubahan teknologi terhadap penyerapan tenaga kerja dan distribusi pendapatan. Kesimpulan yang diperoleh memberikan konfirmasi penelitian sebelumnya, bahkan dalam beberapa hal memilikikelebihan tersendiri.

APAKAH TATA KELOLA PEREKONOMIAN DAERAH DI INDONESIA TELAH MENINGKAT? Haryo Kuncoro
Buletin Ekonomi Moneter dan Perbankan Vol 15 No 1 (2012)
Publisher : Bank Indonesia

Governance has gone through radical changes over the last twenty five years.Seemingly, it became one of the important strategies, processes, methods and mechanisms in governing countries to achieve economic development goals. The objective of this paper is to observe the local economic governance dynamics in the case of districts/municipalities in Indonesia. First, the dynamics behavior of local governance over time is analyzed by visual inspection of their non-parametric density distribution. More deeply, we use Markov chains to predict a pattern of change in local economic governance toward its steady state. Based on comparison between 2007 and 2011 data delivered by Commission of Regional Autonomy Implementation Watch, we conclude that there is a high level of persistence in the relative position of local governance index, consistent with a low degree of mobility in the index distribution implying the implementation of governance in the districts/municipalities in Indonesia is weak enough. This finding implies that the local economic governance is a key to achieve sustainable regional economic growth in line with fiscal decentralization and regional autonomy.Keywords : Local Economic Governance, Decentralization, Regional Economic Growth, Kernel Densities, Markov ChainsJEL Classification: H70, O43, O56

KETANGGUHAN APBN DALAM PEMBAYARAN UTANG Haryo Kuncoro
Buletin Ekonomi Moneter dan Perbankan Vol 13 No 4 (2011)
Publisher : Bank Indonesia

This paper is designed to analyze the sustainability of the central government budget in the case of Indonesia over the period of 1999-2009. First, we explore the theoretical background of the fiscal sustainability. Second, we develop a model to capture some factors determining the fiscal sustainability. Unlike the previous studies, we use both domestic debt and foreign debt to assess the fiscal solvency. Finally, we estimate it empirically. Based on the quarterly data analysis, we concluded that the government budget is unsustainable. This is associated with domestic debt rather than foreign debt. They imply that the central government should manage the debts carefully including re-profile, re-schedule, and re-structure them in order to spread the excess burden in the future. Also, the fiscal risks should be calculated comprehensively in order to maintain solvency.

DOES THE LOCAL ECONOMIC GOVERNANCE IN INDONESIAPERFORM AN IMPROVEMENT? Haryo Kuncoro
Buletin Ekonomi Moneter dan Perbankan Vol 15 No 1 (2012)
Publisher : Bank Indonesia

Governance has gone through radical changes over the last twenty five years. Seemingly, it became one of the important strategies, processes, methods and mechanisms in governing countries to achieve economic development goals. The objective of this paper is to observe the local economic governance dynamics in the case of districts/municipalities in Indonesia. First, the dynamics behavior of local governance over time is analyzed by visual inspection of their non-parametric density distribution. More deeply, we use Markov chains to predict a pattern of change in local economic governance toward its steady state. Based on comparison between 2007 and 2011 data delivered by Commission of Regional Autonomy Implementation Watch, we conclude that there is a high level of persistence in the relative position of local governance index, consistent with a low degree of mobility in the index distribution implying the implementation of governance in the districts/municipalities in Indonesia is weak enough. This finding implies that the local economic governance is a key to achieve sustainable regional economic growth in line with fiscal decentralization and regional autonomy. Keywords : Local Economic Governance, Decentralization, Regional Economic Growth, Kernel Densities, Markov ChainsJEL Classification: H70, O43, O56

PEMBERDAYAAN GURU-GURU SMA MELALUI PELATIHAN TEKNIK MENULIS ILMIAH POPULAR DI MATARAM, NUSA TENGGARA BARAT Agus Wibowo; Karuniana Dianta AS; Haryo Kuncoro
Bahasa Indonesia Vol 14 No 01 (2017): Sarwahita : Jurnal Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat
Publisher : Lembaga Penelitian dan Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat

ABSTRACT: Training activities in West Mataram City, West Nusa Tenggara, aimed at: (1) to provide understanding among the senior high school teachers in Mataram City west Nusa Tenggara related subjects popular scientific writing, and the publication in mass media; (2) to train the senior high school teachers in Mataram west Nusa Tenggara related writing variety of scientific popular, so that they have a skill in this field. Target by the people of this activity is the senior high school teachers in Mataram City, West Nusa Tenggara, as many as 20 people. The activity was done in two important matters that are strongly associated with the popular writing techniques, which is the characteristic of scientific writing popular and strategies pierce the mass media. These are the activities of 20 May 2017. Early sessions, participants related to the understanding of articles, articles and scientific articles are popular. Next session, teachers learned how to write the interesting and lure editor. Instructors peel completed how to make leads but also tempting editors to choose articles and puts it. Based on the results of the training, the scientific writing of the article a supporting an increase in professional competence. ABSTRAK: Kegiatan Pelatihan teknik menulis ilmiah populer bagi guru-guru SMA di Kota Mataram, Nusa Tenggara Barat, bertujuan: (1) untuk memberikan pemahaman kepada para guru SMA di Kota Mataram Nusa Tenggara Barat terkait aneka teknik menulis ilmiah populer, dan celah-celah publikasi di media massa; (2) untuk melatih para guru SMA di Kota Mataram Nusa Tenggara Barat terkait menulis ragam ilmiah populer, sehingga mereka memiliki keterampilan pada bidang tersebut. Khalayak sasaran dari kegiatan ini adalah para guru SMA di Kota Mataram, Nusa Tenggara Barat, sebanyak 20 orang. Kegiatan ini dilakukan dalam dua materi penting yang sangat terkait dengan teknik penulisan ilmiah populer, yaitu karakteristik tulisan ilmiah populer dan strategi menembus media massa. Kegiatan ini dilakukan selama satu hari, yaitu tanggal 20 Mei 2017. Pada sesi awal, peserta diberikan pemahaman terkait apa itu artikel, artikel ilmiah dan artikel ilmiah populer. Pada sesi selanjutnya, para guru diajari bagaimana mengemas tulisan menjadi menarik dan memikat redaktur. Instruktur mengupas tuntas bagaimana membuat lead yang tidak hanya menarik, tetapi juga menggoda redaktur untuk memilih artikel dan menerbitkannya. Berdasarkan hasil pelatihan yang sudah dilakukan didapat beberapa kesimpulan di antaranya para guru sudah memiliki pemahaman dan terampil menulis artikel ilmiah populer sebagai penunjang peningkatan kompetensi profesionalisme mereka.

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