Journal of Mathematical and Fundamental Sciences
Vol. 53 No. 3 (2021)

Cluster Analysis on Dengue Incidence and Weather Data Using K-Medoids and Fuzzy C-Means Clustering Algorithms (Case Study: Spread of Dengue in the DKI Jakarta Province)

Cindy (Department of Mathematics, Universitas Indonesia, Depok, 16424, Indonesia)
Cynthia (Department of Mathematics, Universitas Indonesia, Depok, 16424, Indonesia)
Valentino Vito (Department of Mathematics, Universitas Indonesia, Depok, 16424, Indonesia)
Devvi Sarwinda (Department of Mathematics, Universitas Indonesia, Depok, 16424, Indonesia)
Bevina Desjwiandra Handari (Department of Mathematics, Universitas Indonesia, Depok, 16424, Indonesia)
Gatot Fatwanto Hertono (Department of Mathematics, Universitas Indonesia, Depok, 16424, Indonesia)



Article Info

Publish Date
14 Jan 2022

Abstract

In Indonesia, Dengue incidence tends to increase every year but has been fluctuating in recent years. The potential for Dengue outbreaks in DKI Jakarta, the capital city, deserves serious attention. Weather factors are suspected of being associated with the incidence of Dengue in Indonesia. This research used weather and Dengue incidence data for five regions of DKI Jakarta, Indonesia, from December 30, 2008, to January 2, 2017. The study used a clustering approach on time-series and non-time-series data using K-Medoids and Fuzzy C-Means Clustering. The clustering results for the non-time-series data showed a positive correlation between the number of Dengue incidents and both average relative humidity and amount of rainfall. However, Dengue incidence and average temperature were negatively correlated. Moreover, the clustering implementation on the time-series data showed that rainfall patterns most closely resembled those of Dengue incidence. Therefore, rainfall can be used to estimate Dengue incidence. Both results suggest that the government could utilize weather data to predict possible spikes in DHF incidence, especially when entering the rainy season and alert the public to greater probability of a Dengue outbreak.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

jmfs

Publisher

Subject

Astronomy Chemistry Earth & Planetary Sciences Mathematics Physics

Description

Journal of Mathematical and Fundamental Sciences welcomes full research articles in the area of Mathematics and Natural Sciences from the following subject areas: Astronomy, Chemistry, Earth Sciences (Geodesy, Geology, Geophysics, Oceanography, Meteorology), Life Sciences (Agriculture, Biochemistry, ...