Majalah Ilmiah Matematika dan Statistika (MIMS)
Vol 22 No 1 (2022): Majalah Ilmiah Matematika dan Statistika

PERAMALAN PRODUKSI KARET INDONESIA MENGGUNAKAN FUZZY TIME SERIES DUA FAKTOR ORDE TINGGI RELASI PANJANG BERDASARKAN RASIO INTERVAL

Vianita, Etna (Unknown)
Tjahjana, Heru (Unknown)
Udjiani, Titi (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
18 Mar 2022

Abstract

The fuzzy time series method for forecasting continues to develop over time. This research discusses fuzzy time series, which considers two factors for high order using interval partitioning based on interval ratio with long relation construction for getting different accuracy in forecasting between combination method and existing method. The first step is the formation of the universe of speech. Second, divide the universe of discourse into several intervals using interval ratios. Third, fuzzification. Fourth, build fuzzy logic relations and fuzzy logic relation groups, and fifth, defuzzification. The previous methods would be compared with the fuzzy logic relation construction result. The simulation used Indonesian rubber production data for 2000-2020. The results and errors were tested using the average forecasting error rate (AFER). AFER value of the forecasting method is 1.863% obtained.Keywords: Forecasting, fuzzy time series, long relationMSC2020: 62M10, 62M20, 62M86, 03E72

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Journal Info

Abbrev

MIMS

Publisher

Subject

Mathematics

Description

The aim of this publication is to disseminate the conceptual thoughts or ideas and research results that have been achieved in the area of mathematics and statistics. MIMS, focuses on the development areas sciences of mathematics and statistics as follows: 1. Algebra and Geometry; 2. Analysis and ...