Jurnal Sains Indonesia
Vol 3 No 1 (2022): Volume 3, Nomor 1, 2022 (Maret)

Analisis Permintaan Telur Ayam Menggunakan Metode Peramalan Kuantitaif, Studi Kasus : Agen Telur ABC

Sesar Husen Santosa Santosa (Institut Pertanian Bogor)
Agung Prayudha Hidayat (Industrial Management, College of Vocational Studies, IPB University)
Ridwan Siskandar (Computer Engineering, College of Vocational Studies, IPB University)



Article Info

Publish Date
05 Apr 2022

Abstract

Chicken eggs are a source of food with animal protein content consumed by the people of Indonesia. The availability of chicken eggs in the city of Bogor is inseparable from the ability of ABC Egg Agents to distribute products to end consumers. One of the main factors in managing the chicken egg business is the ability to identify the number of consumer requests by ABC Egg Agents. One of the demand management is done with the right forecasting technique. Based on the results of data trend analysis, it is found that the type of demand data is time series so that the method can be used to forecast demand. Based on the comparison of the value of the level of accuracy (error), the Moving Average method with N = 3 has Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD) = 552,74 and Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) = 0,14. The results of the analysis of the level of accuracy, the method chosen is the Moving Average with the results of forecasting the demand for January 2021 of 3640 crates.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

jsi

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT Energy Mathematics Social Sciences Other

Description

Jurnal Sains Indonesia (JSI) is a scientific periodical publication that presents scientific articles, conceptual thinking, reviews, and book reviews in the field of science with research subjects in the social, economic, environmental, educational and ...