Journal FORTEI-JEERI
Vol. 2 No. 1 (2021): FORTEI-JEERI

Best Estimation Of Double Seasonal Pattern Electric Load Parameters Using Least Squares Method

Ismit Mado (a:1:{s:5:"en_US"
s:26:"Universitas Borneo Tarakan"
})

Article Info

Publish Date
23 Jun 2021

Abstract

Forecasting is an important tool in planning an effective and efficient use of electrical loads. This paper presents an improvement in parameter estimation from previous studies. The results of previous studies indicate that the DSARIMA model is with MAPE about 2.06 percent. This model produces white noise residuals, but not normally distributed, which is thought to be due to outliers. Data smoothing is done to get the best data pattern. The analysis results show that the AR parameter iteration of the best DSARIMA model that is appropriate for short-term forecasting is with MAPE about 1.56 percent.

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Journal Info
Journal FORTEI-JEERI
Website

Abbrev

fortei-jeeri

Publisher

Forum Pendidikan Tinggi Teknik Elektro Indonesia Regional Jawa Timur

Subject

Computer Science & IT Control & Systems Engineering Electrical & Electronics Engineering Mechanical Engineering

Description

Power System; Electric Power Generation, Transmission and Distribution, Power Electronics, Power system analysis, Protection system, Power Quality, Electrical machine and drives, Power Economic, Renewable Energy, Condition Monitoring and Diagnostics, and Energy Systems. Automation and Control; ...