Forum Agribisnis
Vol 4, No 2 (2014): FA Vol 4 No 2 September 2014

PRICE TRANSMISSION OF SKIM MILK POWDER IN INDONESIA: DO SKIM MILK POWDER IMPORT PRICES FOLLOW THE PRICES IN NEW ZEALAND?

Nurunisa, Venty Fitriany ( Magister Sains Agribisnis, Fakultas Ekonomi dan Manajemen, Institut Pertanian Bogor)
Sinaga, Bonar Marulitua ( Program Studi Ekonomi Pertanian, Fakultas Ekonomi dan Manajemen, Institut Pertanian Bogor)
Winandi, Ratna ( Magister Sains Agribisnis, Fakultas Ekonomi dan Manajemen, Institut Pertanian Bogor)
Brummer, Bernhard ( Department of Agricultural Economics and Rural Development, Georg August University of Goettingen, Germany)



Article Info

Publish Date
13 Jan 2015

Abstract

The objectives of this research are i) to examine New Zealands dairy sector and ii) to analyze the market integration and price transmission of Skim Milk Powder (SMP) of New Zealand and Indonesian market. The methods used are Augmented Dickey Fuller test, Johansen Cointegration test, and Vector Error Correction Model. The result indicates: 1) as trade partner, New Zealand is powerful due to its status as the largest dairy producer worldwide; therefore, Indonesia has less bargaining power and 2) The SMP market of both countries are integrated. The coefficient of long run equation variable indicates that every 10 percent changes of one market, the imported SMP price will adjust 10.97 percent, while the exported SMP price will adjust 9.12 percent. The loading vector coefficient indicates that Indonesia is the only party adjusting to long run disequilibrium. Policies to minimize the risks includes: i) buffer budget, ii) alternative suppliers and iii) futures trade.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

fagb

Publisher

Subject

Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Economics, Econometrics & Finance

Description

Forum Agribisnis adalah jurnal ilmiah sebagai forum komunikasi antar peneliti, akademisi, dan penentu kebijakan dan praktisi dalam bidang agribisnis dan bidang terkait lainnya. Tulisan bersifat asli berisi analisis empirik atau tinjauan teoritis dan review buku terbaru. Forum Agribisnis dikelola ...