Buletin Ekonomi Moneter dan Perbankan
Vol 25 No 1 (2022)

EFEK THRESHOLD DALAM HUBUNGAN ANTARA INFLASI DENGAN PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI REGIONAL DI INDONESIA

Adam Luthfi Kusumatrisna (IPB University)
Iman Sugema (IPB University)
Syamsul H. Pasaribu (IPB University)



Article Info

Publish Date
20 Jun 2022

Abstract

This paper investigated the linear and nonlinear relationships between inflation and economic growth in Indonesia using provincial data from 1994 to 2019. The linear model revealed that inflation has a significant negative effect on economic growth, while the nonlinear model revealed that inflation would negatively affect economic growth only after exceeding a threshold value of 9.59 percent. Excluding a high inflationarystructural break, we found an inflation threshold of 5.22 percent. Furthermore, we found that the threshold of inflation rate in the eastern regions of Indonesia was higher than that of the western regions, namely 9.64 percent and 5.75 percent, respectively. These findings have significant implications for inflation targeting and management both at the national and regional levels.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

BEMP

Publisher

Subject

Description

The Buletin Ekonomi Moneter dan Perbankan/Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking (BMEB) is an international peer-reviewed journal. This is a quarterly journal, published in January, April, July and August. The BMEB focuses on a broad range of topics covering monetary economics, banking, ...