Journal of Mathematics and Scientific Computing With Applications
Vol. 3 No. 1 (2022)

IMPLEMENTATION OF EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING METHOD IN THE NUMBER OF DIVORCE RATE IN INDONESIA

Eva Yuliani (Department of Mathematics, Universitas Islam Negeri Sumatera Utara, Medan, Indonesia)
Fibri Rakhmawati (Unknown)
Ismail Husein (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
26 Jul 2022

Abstract

The divorce rate in Indonesia from 2007 to 2020 has increased. The increase in the divorce rate in Indonesia has an impact on the mental condition of children. The purpose of this study is to find out the results of the number of divorce rates in Indonesia in 2021-2022 and to see which accuracy is more accurate between the Double Exponential Smoothing Method and the Triple Exponential Smoothing Method. Comparison between the Double Exponential Smoothing Method and the Triple Exponential Smoothing Method which has more accurate forecasting, namely the Double Exponential Smoothing Method with parameter values and the MAPE value of 14.27%, the equation for forecasting the divorce rate in Indonesia is . The results of the study show that the divorce rate in Indonesia will increase in 2021 with 285,903 cases and decrease in 2022 with 268,649 cases.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

jmscowa

Publisher

Subject

Mathematics

Description

Journal of Mathematics and Scientific Computing With Applications is a broad-based journal covering all branches of computational or applied mathematics with special encouragement to researchers in theoretical computer science and mathematical computing. It covers all major areas, such as numerical ...