Lontar Komputer: Jurnal Ilmiah Teknologi Informasi
Vol 13 No 3 (2022): Vol. 13, No. 3 December 2022

Metode Boosting Untuk Prediksi Angka Kejadian Demam Berdarah Dengue di Kabupaten Bandung

Fhira Nhita (Telkom University)
Didit Adytia (School of Computing, Telkom University)
Aniq Atiqi Rohmawati (School of Computing, Telkom University)



Article Info

Publish Date
13 Dec 2022

Abstract

Dengue infections are among the top 10 diseases that cause the most deaths worldwide. Dengue is a severe global threat and problem, especially in tropical countries like Indonesia. The Indonesian Ministry of Health also stated that dengue is as dangerous as COVID-19. One of the preventive actions that can be taken is by controlling vectors (the Aedes aegypti mosquito) where weather factors influence their breeding. In this study, the prediction of dengue incidence rate is carried out using three boosting methods i.e., Extreme Gradient Boosting, Adaptive Boosting, and Gradient Boosting. The data used are monthly data of dengue incidence rate and weather data. The case study used is Bandung district, West Java Province, Indonesia. The important issues that is investigated in this study is to find the weather parameters that have the most influence on IR and gradually improve the prediction model through three test scenarios. From the test results, the weather parameter that has the most influence on the next month's IR is temperature. Meanwhile, the best training data length is five years (2016-2020). Finally, the best prediction model achieved by AdaBoost method with value of Root Mean Square Error and Correlation Coefficient for testing data (January-December 2021) are 0.55 and 0.95, respectively.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

lontar

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT

Description

Lontar Komputer [ISSN Print 2088-1541] [ISSN Online 2541-5832] is a journal that focuses on the theory, practice, and methodology of all aspects of technology in the field of computer science and engineering as well as productive and innovative ideas related to new technology and information ...