Jurnal Lebesgue : Jurnal Ilmiah Pendidikan Matematika, Matematika dan Statistika
Vol. 4 No. 1 (2023): Jurnal Lebesgue : Jurnal Ilmiah Pendidikan Matematika, Matematika dan Statistik

PENERAPAN METODE MULTIPLICATIVE DECOMPOSITION DALAM MEMPREDIKSI JUMLAH KASUS DBD DI RSU. HAJI MEDAN

Yulanda Novita Zebua (Universitas Islam Negeri Sumatera Utara Medan)
Sajaratud Dur (Universitas Islam Negeri Sumatera Utara Medan)
Riri Syafitri Lubis (Universitas Islam Negeri Sumatera Utara Medan)

Article Info

Publish Date
04 Apr 2023

Abstract

DHF case are diseases caused by four types of dengue virus, where each type has its own characteristics and pattern of spread. The purpose of this study is to make predictions on DHF cases in the future. This study uses the Multiplicative Decomposition method, in which this method breaks down time series data into four patterns, namely trend, seasonality, cycles and error. This research was conducted at RSU Haji Medan using DHF case data from January 2017 to December 2021. The results showed that the Multiplicative Decomposition method has an MSE value of 0,0012 and a MAPE value of 0,23%, which means it has a very good accuracy value because less than 10%. The conclusion of the study is that the Multiplicative Decomposition method is a method in the good category in predicting future DHF cases

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Journal Info
Jurnal Lebesgue : Jurnal Ilmiah Pendidikan Matematika, Matematika dan Statistika
Website

Abbrev

home

Publisher

Universitas Bina Bangsa

Subject

Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Education Mathematics

Description

Jurnal Lebesgue : Jurnal Ilmiah Pendidikan Matematika, Matematika dan Statistika Jurnal Lebesgue Adalah Jurnal Ilmiah yang terbit secara daring pada bulan April, Agustus dan Desember. untuk menyebarluaskan hasil-hasil penelitian dalam bidang matematika, statistika, aktuaria, matematika terapan, ...