Asian Journal of Applied Education
Vol. 2 No. 4 (2023): October 2023

Forecasting Electricity Sales Using the Artificial Neural Network Backpropagation Method

Yosi Febria Utami (Universitas Padjadjaran)
Gumgum Darmawan (Universitas Padjadjaran)
Resa Septiani Pontoh (Universitas Padjadjaran)

Article Info

Publish Date
27 Oct 2023


PT PLN operates in the field of providing electrical energy and one of its goals is to meet consumer needs for electrical energy now and in the future, as well as PLN UID West Java. The initial step is to estimate how much electricity will be sold in the future. For this reason, electricity sales forecasting is carried out which can be taken into consideration by PLN UID West Java in making decisions. This research uses monthly electricity sales data in West Java for the last ten years. This data is not linear and not stationary, so an alternative method is used, namely Artificial Neural Network Backpropagation. Forecasting produces the best network architecture 12-7-1 with a MAPE of 2.965%. This architectural model is used to forecast electricity sales in West Java until August 2024.

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Asian Journal of Applied Education (AJAE) is a scholarly, peer-reviewed journal published by Formosa Publisher that provides a platform for unpublished articles on contemporary educational issues. It encourages debate, both theoretical and practical, on a wide range of topics representing various ...