Jurnal Simki Postgraduate
Vol 3 No 1 (2024): Volume 3 Nomor 1 Tahun 2024

Analisis Model Rantai Markov Waktu Kontinu pada Model Transmisi dan Vaksinasi COVID-19: Studi Kasus Provinsi DKI Jakarta

Rifaldy Atlant Tungga (Institut Teknologi Bacharuddin Jusuf Habibie)

Article Info

Publish Date
25 Jan 2024

Abstract

In 2019, the Novel Coronavirus was discovered in Wuhan, China, and later named the disease caused by the virus, called COVID-19. On March 31, 2020, the Indonesian government announced that COVID-19 was a pandemic. Previously, many mathematical models have been used to capture the transmission of this disease. In this paper, a new mathematical model is introduced, namely the continuous-time Markov chain modeling of SIRV, which takes into account the probabilities between events of several groups of individuals, namely the susceptible (S), infected (I), recovered (R), and vaccinated (V) groups. Thus, it is considered to provide more realistic results compared to deterministic models. Using a period of approximately one year, it was obtained that vaccination carried out with a vaccination rate ν=0.002 was considered ineffective.

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Journal Info
Jurnal Simki Postgraduate
Website

Abbrev

JSPG

Publisher

Universitas Nusantara PGRI Kediri

Subject

Education Languange, Linguistic, Communication & Media Mathematics Other

Description

Menyediakan wadah publikasi karya ilmiah di bidang pendidikan pascasarjana seperti Pendidikan Guru, Pembelajaran, Media Pembelajaran, Strategi Pembelajaran, Model Pembelajaran, Evaluasi Pembelajaran, dan Pendidikan ...