Journal of Regional and Rural Development Planning
Vol. 1 No. 3 (2017): Journal of Regional and Rural Development Planning (Jurnal Perencanaan Pembangu

Pemodelan Spasial Perubahan Penggunaan Lahan di Taman Nasional Gunung Halimun Salak dan Daerah Penyangganya

Iwan Kurniawan (Departemen Ilmu Tanah dan Sumberdaya Lahan, Fakultas Pertanian IPB, Jl. Meranti Kampus IPB Darmaga Bogor 16680)
Baba Barus (Departemen Ilmu Tanah dan Sumberdaya Lahan, Fakultas Pertanian IPB, Jl. Meranti Kampus IPB Darmaga Bogor 16680)
Andrea Emma Pravitasari (Departemen Ilmu Tanah dan Sumberdaya Lahan, Fakultas Pertanian IPB, Jl. Meranti Kampus IPB Darmaga Bogor 16680)



Article Info

Publish Date
23 Feb 2018

Abstract

Land use activities in Gunung Halimun Salak National Park (GHSNP) that does not comply with the zoning plan of GHSNP cause degradation, deforestation and decreasing GHSNP size, while land use activities intensively in the surrounding of GHSNP (buffer area) that does not comply with the spatial allocation plan may alter landscape configuration that influence ecological processes and biodiversity within national park. Predicting land use and land cover (LULC) change patterns in the future provides important information for identifying areas that vulnerable to changes. Multi-temporal remote sensing data was used to identify LULC, a multi-layer perceptron neural network with a Markov chain model (MLPNN-M) was used to predict LULC in 2025 and to analyze LULC trend, Overlaying analysis was used to analyze the consistency between LULC and spatial allocation regulation in 2025. The results show that LULC in GHSNP and its buffer area consist of prmary forests, secondary forests, mixture crops, plantations, settlements, agriculture, shrubs, and water. The primary forests, secondary forests, mixture crops, and agriculture were predicted to decrease while settlements, plantations and shrubs were predicted to increase. Land conversion trends into secondary forests, plantations, agriculture and shrubs that begin to show centralized patterns within and the boundaries of GHSNP need to be anticipated. In 2025, inconsistency between land use and GHSNP zonation is the existence of mixture crops, plantations, settlements and agriculture outside the special zone whereas inconsistency between land use and spatial allocation regulation is existence of plantations and agriculture in conservation forest, protection forest and production forest.

Copyrights © 2017






Journal Info

Abbrev

p2wd

Publisher

Subject

Humanities Civil Engineering, Building, Construction & Architecture Economics, Econometrics & Finance Environmental Science Social Sciences

Description

JP2WD covers topics related to regional science, regional and/or rural planning, regional economics, spatial and environmental planning, regional information system, community development, and public policy. Emphasis are placed on issues related to rural development in developing and middle-income ...