Media Trend: Berkala Kajian Ekonomi dan Studi Pembangunan
Vol 13, No 2 (2018): Oktober

Dampak Ekonomi Makro Terhadap Yield Surat Berharga Negara: Studi Empiris Di Indonesia

Muhammad Ichsan (Direktorat Jenderal Perbendaharaan, Kementerian Keuangan)
Lestari Agusalim (Universitas Trilogi)
Zed Abdullah (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
29 Oct 2018

Abstract

The increasing integration of the world economy and the large share of foreign ownership of the Government Securities (SBN), then changes in economic policies in developed countries affect the pressure on financial markets in emerging market countries. This study analyzes the effect of macroeconomic factors on 10-year tenor Government's yields issued by the Government of Indonesia for the period 2012-2017. Using the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) results in long-term USD/IDR, Oil Price, Credit Default Swap (CDS) are negatively significant, while Brazilian State Bonds (ON Brazil) have a significant positive effect on SBN yield. Based on the analysis of Impulse Response Function (IRF), the shock of yield on ON Brazil, CDS, JIBOR, USD / IDR and US Treasury (UST) responded positively by the yield SBN in each period, but the shock by Oil Price responded negatively by the yield of SBN. The result of Forecast Error Variance Decomposition (FEVD) analysis shows that UST variable is the biggest variable contribution influence to Indonesia SBN yield, followed by CDS and ON Brazil.

Copyrights © 2018






Journal Info

Abbrev

MEDIATREND

Publisher

Subject

Economics, Econometrics & Finance

Description

Economic Development Program provides a platform for researchers who want to publish their research results through "MEDIATREND", the periodical Journal of economic studies and development studies. Journal "MEDIATREND" published two (2) times a year in March and October and can be accessed online. ...