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All Journal Kesmas: Jurnal Kesehatan Masyarakat Nasional
Emma Rachmawati
Faculty of Health Sciences, Universitas Muhammadiyah Prof. Dr. Hamka, Limau Road South Jakarta 12130, Indonesia
Public Health

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The Impact of Large-scale Social Restrictions on the Incidence of COVID-19 : A Case Study of Four Provinces in Indonesia Izza Suraya; Mochamad Iqbal Nurmansyah; Emma Rachmawati; Badra Al Aufa; Ibrahim Isa Koire
Jurnal Kesehatan Masyarakat Nasional Special Issue Volume 1, 2020
Publisher : Faculty of Public Health Universitas Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (151.964 KB) | DOI: 10.21109/kesmas.v15i2.3990

Abstract

The Indonesian government has chosen to implement large-scale social restrictions, or Pembatasan Sosial Berskala Besar (PSBB), to minimize the spread of COVID-19. PSBB is a government policy aimed at restricting the internal movement of people in a bid to reduce the spread of SARS-CoV-2. This study aims to assess the impact of such large-scale social restriction measures on the incidence of COVID-19 cases in four provinces of Indonesia. Time series analysis was used to describe trends in COVID-19 cases by using surveillance data from the Ministry of Health of Indonesia. Quasi-Poisson regression with an interaction model was used to estimate the incidence rate ratio (IRR), and this was calculated to compare the incidence rate before and during PSBB implementation. The trend in COVID-19 cases in the provinces of West Java, East Java, Banten, and Jakarta has continued to fluctuate. These four provinces have continued to experience a significant increase in the COVID-19 incidence rate ratio after the implementation of the first and second PSBB periods compared to the  period before PSBB implementation. Lack of proper implementation of the large-scale social restrictions has led to PSBB’s ineffectiveness in reducing the number of COVID-19 cases in each of the provinces.
Co-Authors Badra Al Aufa Ibrahim Isa Koire Izza Suraya Mochamad Iqbal Nurmansyah