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Journal : The Winners

Multifraktalitas dan Studi Komparatif Prediksi Indeks dengan Metode Arima dan Artificial Neural Network (ANN) Muharam, Harjum; Panji, Muhammad
Journal the Winners: Economics, Business, Management, and Information System Journal Vol 9, No 2 (2008): The Winners Vol. 9 No. 2 2008
Publisher : Bina Nusantara University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.21512/tw.v9i2.720

Abstract

This paper discusses technical analysis widely used by investors. There are many methods that exist and used by investor to predict the future value of a stock. In this paper we start from finding the value of Hurst (H) exponent of LQ 45 Index to know the form of the Index. From H value, we could determinate that the time series data is purely random, or ergodic and ant persistent, or persistent to a certain trend. Two prediction tools were chosen, ARIMA (Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average) which is the de facto standard for univariate prediction model in econometrics and Artificial Neural Network (ANN) Back Propagation. Data left from ARIMA is used as an input for both methods. We compared prediction error from each method to determine which method is better. The result shows that LQ45 Index is persistent to a certain trend therefore predictable and for outputted sample data ARIMA outperforms ANN.
Analisis Perbedaan Liquiditas Saham, Kinerja Keuangan, dan Return Saham di Sekitar Pengumuman Stock Split Muharam, Harjum; Sakti, Hanung
Journal the Winners: Economics, Business, Management, and Information System Journal Vol 9, No 1 (2008): The Winners Vol. 9 No. 1 2008
Publisher : Bina Nusantara University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.21512/tw.v9i1.727

Abstract

Using 13 samples from listed companies in Jakarta Stock Exchange within 2003-2005, this article analyze the difference of stock liquidity, financial performance, and stock return in the period of stock split announcement. Multivariate Analysis of Variance (MANOVA) shows that there is no difference in Trading Volume Activity (TVA) of stock and financial performance before, within, and after stock split announcement, but this study finds that the difference in stock return exist in the period of stock split announcement.
Multifraktalitas dan Studi Komparatif Prediksi Indeks dengan Metode Arima dan Artificial Neural Network (ANN) Harjum Muharam; Muhammad Panji
The Winners Vol. 9 No. 2 (2008): The Winners Vol. 9 No. 2 2008
Publisher : Bina Nusantara University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.21512/tw.v9i2.720

Abstract

This paper discusses technical analysis widely used by investors. There are many methods that exist and used by investor to predict the future value of a stock. In this paper we start from finding the value of Hurst (H) exponent of LQ 45 Index to know the form of the Index. From H value, we could determinate that the time series data is purely random, or ergodic and ant persistent, or persistent to a certain trend. Two prediction tools were chosen, ARIMA (Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average) which is the de facto standard for univariate prediction model in econometrics and Artificial Neural Network (ANN) Back Propagation. Data left from ARIMA is used as an input for both methods. We compared prediction error from each method to determine which method is better. The result shows that LQ45 Index is persistent to a certain trend therefore predictable and for outputted sample data ARIMA outperforms ANN.
Analisis Perbedaan Liquiditas Saham, Kinerja Keuangan, dan Return Saham di Sekitar Pengumuman Stock Split Harjum Muharam; Hanung Sakti
The Winners Vol. 9 No. 1 (2008): The Winners Vol. 9 No. 1 2008
Publisher : Bina Nusantara University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.21512/tw.v9i1.727

Abstract

Using 13 samples from listed companies in Jakarta Stock Exchange within 2003-2005, this article analyze the difference of stock liquidity, financial performance, and stock return in the period of stock split announcement. Multivariate Analysis of Variance (MANOVA) shows that there is no difference in Trading Volume Activity (TVA) of stock and financial performance before, within, and after stock split announcement, but this study finds that the difference in stock return exist in the period of stock split announcement.
Co-Authors Abdul Aziz Nurul Akhsan, Abdul Aziz Nurul agasa, Qaharuna Andreana Dita Paramitha, Andreana Dita Apriyani, Duwi Asep Mulyana Axel Giovanni Azhary, Alwan Bellinda, Bianda Dewi, Febrina Eka Dhani Utary Firmanah, Dhani Utary Dheni Saraswati Almara, Dheni Diana Eka Farida, Diana Eka Dinda Ayu Septiana, Dinda Ayu Dwi Gama Primadasa, Dwi Ersabathari, Ruth Valencia Erwin Erwin Faraga, Filus Farah Nur Sabrina, Farah Nur Fitriati, Ika Rosyada Galuh Kusuma Putri Gata Niztiar, Gata Habib Bitomo, Habib Handayani, Heny Handayani, Suyati Hanung Sakti Hanung Sakti, Hanung Haryanto, Antonius Mulyo Hasna Penta Kurnia Hasna Penta Kurnia Hasna Penta Kurnia Heni Hirawati Heny Handayani Hepdityo Rizki Adam Damanik, Hepdityo Rizki Ima Mediana, Ima Indra Eka Putra Isfenti Sadalia Jumadil Saputra M. Andika Jawara Pratama M. Chabachib Maria Rio Rita Miftahusni,, Nundy Mohammad Chabachib Muhammad Fadhil Rabbani Muhammad Panji Muhammad Panji, Muhammad Muhammad Talkhisul Abid Muhammad Talkhisul Abid Nabila H.N. Farida A., Nabila H.N. Nadya Purnamasari, Nadya Nency I, Yashinta Nirmala Luthfiya Atyanta Putri Andriana, Putri Rabbani, Muhammad Fadhil Rahayu, Nugroho Tulus Rico Nur Ilham Riskin Hidayat Rizki Yogonugroho, Muhammad Robiyanto Robiyanto, Robiyanto Samasta, Almira Santi Santa Situmeang, Santa Saraswati, Niken Silvia Hendrayanti Sugeng Wahyudi, Sugeng Sugiono Sugiono Syafrullah, Saddek T. Muhd. Redha Vahlevi, T. Muhd. Redha Tara Ninta Ikrima Teuku Muhammad Haqiqi, Teuku Muhammad Wisnu Mawardi Wulandari, Cahyani Sulistyaning Yacobo P Sijabat Yasmin, Amanda Ratri Yudianto, Iwan