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All Journal JOELS: Journal of Election and Leadership
Amri Hakim
Universitas Abdurrab, Pekanbaru, Indonesia
Social Sciences

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The Formation of Responsive Regional Regulations in Supporting Regional Autonomy in Pekanbaru City Amri Hakim; Hizra Marisa
JOELS: Journal of Election and Leadership Vol. 2 No. 1 (2021): JOELS : Journal of Election and Leadership (In Press)
Publisher : Lembaga Penelitian dan Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31849/joels.v2i1.5884

Abstract

This article aims to produce regional laws that are responsive in supporting the implementation of regional autonomy so that the implementation of regional autonomy does not create new problems that can hinder or damage economic development and growth in a region. In this study, several legal approaches used include the main approach of Law number 32 of 2004 concerning regional autonomy and Law number 12 of 2011 concerning the law on the establishment of legislation. Another approach approached in one case is a historical approach, a comparative approach, and a conceptual approach. Results illuminate how the drafting of Perda constitutes based on certain principals (i.e. clarity of objectives, appropriate institutional or organ formation, compatibility between types and material content) can accommodate local wisdom for the community and avoid potentially problematic regulations in the regions.
Studi Dampak Branding Kandidat Terhadap Hasil Pilgubri 2018 Amri Hakim; M. Ichsan Kabullah; Fauzan Misra; Sudarmoko Sudarmoko; Fajri Rahman; Apriwan Apriwan; Hendri Koeswara
JOELS: Journal of Election and Leadership Vol. 3 No. 2 (2022): JOELS : Journal of Election and Leadership
Publisher : Lembaga Penelitian dan Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31849/joels.v3i2.10003

Abstract

Artikel ini bertujuan menganalisis pembangunan brand kandidat pada Pilgubri 2018 dan dampaknya terhadap hasil perolehan suara. Dengan menggunakan Model Branding Politik dari Downer dan metode interpretatif ditemukan bahwa Syamsuar sebagai pemenang membangun brand politiknya berdasar pada brand equity mayoritas pemilih rasional bahwa dia berpengalaman, dan lebih baik dalam membangun Riau yang merupakan perwujudan dari strategi berorientasi pasarnya, sementara itu Andi Rachman, calon petahana yang tingkat kepuasan publiknya di bawah batas ideal, tidak merubah brand politiknya untuk menarik pemilih, begitu juga dengan Lukman Edy dan Firdaus yang sama-sama menggunakan strategi berorientasi produk dan penjualan.
Studi Prediktif Dampak Dukungan Jokowi Sebagai Outgoing President Terhadap Peluang Kemenangan Kandidat Presiden Yang Didukungnya Pada Pilpres 2024: Pola kasus: Obama, Vazquez, Uribe, SBY, Bachelet, Lula, dan Duterte Amri Hakim; Zamhasari
JOELS: Journal of Election and Leadership Vol. 4 No. 1 (2023): JOELS : Journal of Election and Leadership
Publisher : Lembaga Penelitian dan Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31849/joels.v4i1.12446

Abstract

This paper aims to find the impact of outgoing president support to the winning probability of its endorsed candidate in presidential election, and predicts the winning probability of Jokowi’s endorsed candidate in Indonesia 2024 presidential election. By generalizing Obama, Vazquez, Uribe, SBY, Bachelet, Lula, and Duterte’s cases it is found that president candidates who endorsed by outgoing presidents with at least 50% public approval have 71% chance to winning the presidential election and 29% chance to lose, and with the public approval over 85% the probability is increase to 100%. The endorsed candidates who wins the election mostly were the minister of outgoing president whose contribute to the high approval ratings. Meanwhile, in the case of lost candidates the unfirm support from outgoing presiden and the candidate who already had been president with 28% approval ratings found as the causes. Through this generalization it is predicted that if Jokowi able to maintain his public approval rating at least 50%, and endorse one of his success ministers whom also come from the same party then in the 2024 Indonesia’s president election this candidate possibly will be the winner with 71% chance, also if his approval ratings reaching out over 85% the chance will be 100%.
Neostructural Realism’s Explanation on Russia-Ukraine War Amri Hakim
JOELS: Journal of Election and Leadership Vol. 4 No. 2 (2023): JOELS : Journal of Election and Leadership
Publisher : Lembaga Penelitian dan Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31849/joels.v4i2.15523

Abstract

This article aims to explain why NATO keeps expanse on Ukraine, and why Russia responses it through invasion now. By using qualitative methode, library research, and the neostructural realism theory founded that since the dissolution of Soviet Union, NATO has been no longer appropriate abstracted as an alliance but an unipole security coalition, then the NATO expansion on Ukraine can be seen as the continuity of U.S.’ containment policy to Russia, and adding its coalition partners for unilateral action legitimacy in order to maintain its hegemon position which undermine Russia’s Eurasia great power vision and its crucial national security. Meanwhile the uneven distribution of power elements between U.S. and Russia as the macro international structure constraint Russia invasion but the bipolar world through Russia-China unlimited strategic partnership, and the shifting of U.S. offset strategy to Russia on hypersonic missile as the micro structure encourage Russia to take invasion now.
Co-Authors Apriwan Apriwan, Apriwan Fajri Rahman Fauzan Misra Hendri Koeswara Hizra Marisa Muhammad Ichsan Kabullah Sudarmoko Sudarmoko Zamhasari, Zamhasari