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All Journal JURNAL MEDIA INFORMATIKA BUDIDARMA JURIKOM (Jurnal Riset Komputer) Building of Informatics, Technology and Science Journal of Computer System and Informatics (JoSYC) Jurnal Sistem Komputer dan Informatika (JSON) KLIK: Kajian Ilmiah Informatika dan Komputer
Iwan Iskandar
Universitas Islam Negeri Sultan Syarif Kasim Riau, Pekanbaru
Computer Science & IT Control & Systems Engineering Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Electrical & Electronics Engineering Industrial & Manufacturing Engineering

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Journal : JURNAL MEDIA INFORMATIKA BUDIDARMA

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Perbandingan Prediksi Obat Berdasarkan Pemakaian Menggunakan Algoritma Single Moving Average dan Support Vector Regression Said Nurfan Hidayad Tillah; Alwis Nazir; Iwan Iskandar; Elvia Budianita; Iis Afrianty
JURNAL MEDIA INFORMATIKA BUDIDARMA Vol 7, No 4 (2023): Oktober 2023
Publisher : Universitas Budi Darma

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.30865/mib.v7i4.6859

Abstract

To ensure the availability and quality of drugs, Public Health Centers (PHC) must pay attention to the planning and procurement process. The problem that often arises is the increase in drug stock due to the stable use of drugs each month, resulting in excess and expired drugs that are not used. In addition, it is necessary to avoid inappropriate drug demand, which affects stock availability. Drug usage prediction is done with several methods such as the Single Moving Average (SMA) algorithm in the data mining method and the Support Vector Regression (SVR) algorithm in the machine learning method. This algorithm was chosen because the drug data of Diazepam 5 mg and Mefenamic Acid 500 mg is sustainable from January 2020 to June 2023 (42 months). Implementation using the Phyton programming language. Testing using the Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) method, this study aims to measure the accuracy of predictions in each algorithm. In research with Diazepam 5 mg and Mefenamic Acid 500 mg drugs, with a division of 80% in training data and 20% in test data. With a calculation of 3 periods, the SMA algorithm produces MAPE values of 4.10% and 4.29%, in the "very good" range. The SVR algorithm, which uses an RBF kernel with a complexity parameter of 1.0 and an epsilon parameter of 0.1, produces MAPE results of 7.35% and 9.52%, in the "Very Good" range. Thus, the SMA algorithm predicts better than the SVR algorithm.
Co-Authors Aditya Dyan Ramadhan Ahmad Efendi Alwis Nazir Beni Basuki Elvia Budianita Fadhilah Syafria Haikal Zikri Ibrahim Armadian Pujakesuma Ihda Syurfi Iis Afrianty Jefitra Abdu Ar Razzak Lestari Handayani Lola Oktavia M. Fahrizal M. Saski M. Septrio Rafinaldo Muhammad Affandes Muhammad Rifaldo Al Magribi Muhammad Rizky Ramadhan Nazruddin Safaat Harahap Nining Nur Habibah Novriyanto Novriyanto Nur Iza Pizaini Pizaini Pizaini Rahmad Kurniawan Reski Mai Candra Reski Mai Candra Said Nurfan Hidayad Tillah Sephia Pratista Siska Kurnia Gusti