Jurnal Penelitian Pendidikan
Vol 5, No 1 (2013): Jurnal Penelitian Pendidikan

PEMODELAN FUZZY UNTUK DATA TIME SERIES MENGGUNAKAN METODE TABEL LOOK UP DENGAN TRANSFORMASI LOGARITMA DAN DIFERENSI DAN APLIKASINYA PADA DATA INDEKS HARGA SAHAM GABUNGAN (IHSG)

Susanto, Hari Purnomo ( STKIP PGRI Pacitan)



Article Info

Publish Date
01 Jun 2013

Abstract

The purpose of this study is to form a fuzzy model for data time series using a lookup table with logarithmic transformation and differentiation as well as its application to predict IHSG listed on the BSE. First, all data of IHSG is made in logarithm and differentiation. Then, the formation of the fuzzy rules is by lookup table. In this study, the prediction of IHSG is only based on time series data of IHSG with 144 data as the training data. The results of this study are the prediction of IHSG is based on 6 fuzzy models formed to conclude that the model of fuzzy lookup table 8 input with logarithmic transformation is the best model to predict IHSG. It can be seen from MAPE produced by the model is 4.09%. When it is compared to fuzzy model 8 inputs without transformation in preceding studies, fuzzy models 8 inputs with logarithmic transformation is still a better model because it has a smaller MAPE values.Keywords: fuzzy models, lookup table, logarithmic transformation, differentiation, time series, and IHSG

Copyrights © 2013






Journal Info

Abbrev

jpp

Publisher

Subject

Humanities Education Languange, Linguistic, Communication & Media Mathematics Other

Description

Jurnal Penelitian Pendidikan adalah jurnal peer-review yang diterbitkan oleh Lembaga Penelitian dan Pengabdian pada Masyarakat, Sekolah Tinggi Keguruan dan Ilmu Pendidikan PGRI Pacitan. Dipublikasikan dua kali setahun pada bulan Juni dan Desember. Jurnal ini menerbitkan makalah penelitian dan kajian ...